⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
CHC
@ 7:20p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
1.090
Temp
79.7°F
Wind
1.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 71 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 21 0.277 94.4 13.3% 40.0% 406 20.5% 15.4% 20.1% 36
2 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 68 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 34 0.181 89.6 9.2% 30.0% 404 16.0% 27.3% 20.4% 32
3 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 90 0.158 90.8 9.8% 9.5% 394 7.9% 8.3% 10.1% 36
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 50 🟠 C +900 🌧️ COOL 97 0.162 91.5 10.9% 7.1% 408 13.0% 7.7% 9.9% 35
5 Thomas Saggese Thomas Saggese 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 100 0.103 89.1 10.0% 15.4% 402 11.1% 50.0% 9.3% 5
6 Nelson Velázquez Nelson Velázquez 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 107 0.143 86.2 5.0% 16.7% 373 100.0% 100.0% 10.3% 3
7 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 127 0.135 86.5 9.0% 0.0% 403 6.7% 0.0% 5.8% 13
8 José Fermín José Fermín 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 152 0.137 86.0 4.7% 16.7% 372 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 15
9 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 237 0.080 86.6 5.8% 0.0% 373 1.9% 0.0% 5.7% 23
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 35 0.251 90.1 12.2% 17.6% 398 25.0% 27.3% 24.2% 31
2 Michael Busch Michael Busch 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 71 0.157 88.8 10.6% 7.7% 398 10.3% 23.1% 19.3% 35
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 54 🟠 C +950 🔥 HOT 78 0.133 91.7 9.9% 16.7% 394 12.3% 15.4% 14.0% 32
4 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 43 ⚪ D +950 · 142 0.153 88.9 8.3% 20.0% 414 7.9% 0.0% 9.2% 37
5 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 168 0.142 89.8 8.5% 23.1% 398 12.3% 8.3% 8.9% 28
6 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 205 0.136 88.5 7.0% 10.0% 390 5.4% 0.0% 7.1% 45
7 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 227 0.090 89.2 8.2% 18.2% 414 3.9% 0.0% 7.7% 24
8 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 236 0.109 85.4 3.6% 15.4% 383 7.0% 0.0% 7.5% 47
9 Kevin Alcántara Kevin Alcántara 11 ⚪ D · · 269 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 0
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