CHC
@
4:10p
SD
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.818
Temp
55.6°F
Wind
3.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Matt Waldron
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 41 | 0.230 | 89.7 | 15.9% | 33.3% | 397 | 27.6% | 23.1% | 27.2% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 42 | 0.225 | 90.6 | 14.1% | 17.6% | 393 | 20.7% | 23.1% | 26.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.239 | 89.2 | 8.1% | 40.0% | 407 | 14.3% | 33.3% | 34.6% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 98 | 0.162 | 85.9 | 3.1% | 7.7% | 383 | 13.8% | 23.1% | 10.6% | 53 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Kelly | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 136 | 0.133 | 92.1 | 13.5% | 0.0% | 414 | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Alex Bregman | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 145 | 0.116 | 90.0 | 7.7% | 23.8% | 395 | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Michael Busch | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.091 | 84.1 | 6.8% | 11.1% | 398 | 6.9% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 151 | 0.098 | 90.6 | 5.8% | 6.7% | 389 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Matt Shaw | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 153 | 0.160 | 88.1 | 8.2% | 16.7% | 361 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 20 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 60 | 0.244 | 88.8 | 10.5% | 35.7% | 410 | 8.7% | 10.0% | 27.5% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.162 | 90.2 | 7.5% | 25.0% | 385 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 23.8% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 87 | 0.188 | 89.6 | 15.4% | 23.8% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Manny Machado | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.168 | 87.4 | 4.8% | 28.6% | 384 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 146 | 0.134 | 88.6 | 12.7% | 13.0% | 399 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 182 | 0.036 | 93.7 | 13.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 192 | 0.058 | 88.8 | 5.1% | 9.1% | 399 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.125 | 90.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.064 | 88.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 12 |