⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CHC
@ 9:40p
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.722
Temp
54.1°F
Wind
4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 40 0.236 89.7 15.9% 35.7% 397 28.6% 23.1% 30.5% 34
2 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 42 0.254 89.2 8.1% 33.3% 407 15.0% 37.5% 35.5% 34
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 53 0.217 90.6 14.1% 17.6% 393 21.4% 23.1% 26.6% 37
4 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 45 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 105 0.161 85.9 3.1% 8.7% 383 14.3% 23.1% 11.5% 53
5 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 113 0.143 92.1 13.5% 0.0% 414 7.7% 16.7% 13.5% 23
6 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 148 0.170 88.1 8.2% 16.7% 361 13.0% 0.0% 12.3% 18
7 Michael Busch Michael Busch 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 151 0.092 84.1 6.8% 11.8% 398 7.1% 15.4% 7.3% 40
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 33 ⚪ D · · 159 0.117 90.0 7.7% 27.8% 395 7.7% 8.3% 11.2% 43
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 208 0.074 90.6 5.8% 6.7% 389 3.7% 0.0% 6.6% 30
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 55 🟠 C · · 60 0.250 88.8 10.5% 33.3% 410 9.1% 10.0% 25.7% 30
2 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 50 🟠 C · · 81 0.196 89.6 15.4% 25.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 29
3 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 127 0.139 88.6 12.7% 15.8% 399 13.0% 0.0% 9.1% 30
4 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 39 ⚪ D · · 133 0.138 90.2 7.5% 26.7% 385 13.0% 18.2% 9.7% 35
5 Manny Machado Manny Machado 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.168 87.4 4.8% 16.7% 384 13.0% 9.1% 9.3% 38
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 30 ⚪ D · · 172 0.038 93.7 13.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 31
7 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 211 0.059 88.8 5.1% 9.1% 399 4.3% 0.0% 7.9% 24
8 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 218 0.125 90.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 22
9 Freddy Fermin Freddy Fermin 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 221 0.064 88.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 12
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