⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
CHC
@ 1:35p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.838
Temp
77.7°F
Wind
5.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Ben Brown
Ben Brown RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 53 0.284 89.6 7.7% 27.0% 397 14.6% 18.2% 18.5% 33
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 45 ⚪ D · · 97 0.198 95.9 9.0% 32.0% 410 22.7% 9.1% 9.3% 24
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.163 86.4 4.3% 18.8% 380 7.5% 20.0% 9.0% 30
4 Henry Davis Henry Davis 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.140 90.4 6.4% 23.1% 392 4.8% 14.3% 8.5% 17
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 180 0.119 89.6 6.2% 12.0% 408 8.7% 10.0% 6.9% 17
6 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 207 0.129 90.5 5.9% 11.8% 415 8.7% 0.0% 4.9% 38
7 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 219 0.122 87.4 6.2% 20.0% 401 3.1% 0.0% 6.5% 34
8 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 7 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.051 86.9 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 30
9 Jhostynxon Garcia Jhostynxon Garcia 5 ⚪ D · · 234 · 80.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 12
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Michael Conforto Michael Conforto 52 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 66 0.306 94.8 9.6% 16.7% 409 5.6% 33.3% 16.0% 15
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 51 🟠 C · · 72 0.222 89.7 10.9% 32.0% 400 22.0% 10.0% 15.1% 17
3 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.210 91.2 9.3% 23.1% 390 6.9% 0.0% 11.0% 12
4 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 44 ⚪ D · · 107 0.238 86.7 7.1% 33.3% 384 16.7% 0.0% 15.3% 15
5 Michael Busch Michael Busch 43 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 112 0.144 88.5 9.6% 13.2% 396 9.6% 16.7% 9.6% 28
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 176 0.138 90.9 8.0% 12.9% 386 11.8% 16.7% 10.2% 25
7 Pedro Ramírez Pedro Ramírez 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.198 90.2 7.7% 10.6% 396 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 43
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 30 ⚪ D · · 183 0.144 88.9 6.5% 19.4% 390 6.0% 8.3% 5.9% 40
9 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 184 0.150 89.9 7.8% 12.9% 398 13.7% 9.1% 5.7% 25
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