⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CHC
@ 7:15p
LAD
Dodger Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.37×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.237
Temp
57.8°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Roki Sasaki
Roki Sasaki RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 86 🟢 A · · 13 0.260 89.7 15.9% 33.3% 397 32.0% 25.0% 46.8% 38
2 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 83 🟢 A · · 14 0.244 90.6 14.1% 26.1% 393 24.0% 33.3% 45.8% 37
3 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 60 0.152 92.1 13.5% 16.7% 414 8.7% 18.2% 22.6% 26
4 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 62 🔵 C+ · · 63 0.196 89.2 8.1% 30.0% 407 5.9% 16.7% 35.4% 35
5 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 66 0.178 85.9 3.1% 15.4% 383 16.0% 25.0% 18.4% 56
6 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 58 🟠 C · · 70 0.187 88.1 8.2% 16.7% 361 15.0% 0.0% 17.8% 17
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 51 🟠 C · · 101 0.128 90.0 7.7% 15.0% 395 8.7% 10.0% 12.4% 47
8 Michael Busch Michael Busch 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 139 0.094 84.1 6.8% 8.7% 398 8.0% 16.7% 13.1% 34
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 169 0.082 90.6 5.8% 5.3% 389 4.2% 0.0% 10.3% 31
Colin Rea
Colin Rea RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 72 🟡 B · · 36 0.196 94.1 22.1% 19.2% 403 8.7% 8.3% 21.6% 32
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 70 🟡 B · · 42 0.167 92.2 17.7% 13.3% 412 22.0% 21.1% 18.3% 58
3 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 62 🔵 C+ · · 59 0.190 92.4 15.3% 10.7% 412 9.1% 0.0% 14.1% 36
4 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.186 89.5 12.1% 26.7% 387 9.1% 10.0% 25.7% 27
5 Andy Pages Andy Pages 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 85 0.215 90.1 7.1% 31.2% 392 17.4% 8.3% 20.9% 34
6 Will Smith Will Smith 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 89 0.126 89.1 10.8% 12.0% 406 13.6% 9.1% 10.1% 31
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 116 0.124 88.0 6.8% 13.0% 404 4.5% 9.1% 11.2% 37
8 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 39 ⚪ D · · 157 0.135 87.3 7.1% 12.5% 372 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 22
9 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 190 0.080 89.5 9.5% 12.5% 413 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 19
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