CHC
@
7:15p
LAD
Park Factor
1.37×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.237
Temp
57.8°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 86 | 🟢 A | · | · | 13 | 0.260 | 89.7 | 15.9% | 33.3% | 397 | 32.0% | 25.0% | 46.8% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 83 | 🟢 A | · | · | 14 | 0.244 | 90.6 | 14.1% | 26.1% | 393 | 24.0% | 33.3% | 45.8% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Carson Kelly | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 60 | 0.152 | 92.1 | 13.5% | 16.7% | 414 | 8.7% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 63 | 0.196 | 89.2 | 8.1% | 30.0% | 407 | 5.9% | 16.7% | 35.4% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.178 | 85.9 | 3.1% | 15.4% | 383 | 16.0% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 56 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Shaw | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 70 | 0.187 | 88.1 | 8.2% | 16.7% | 361 | 15.0% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 101 | 0.128 | 90.0 | 7.7% | 15.0% | 395 | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 47 |
| 8 |
|
Michael Busch | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 139 | 0.094 | 84.1 | 6.8% | 8.7% | 398 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 169 | 0.082 | 90.6 | 5.8% | 5.3% | 389 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 31 |
Colin Rea
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 36 | 0.196 | 94.1 | 22.1% | 19.2% | 403 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 21.6% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 42 | 0.167 | 92.2 | 17.7% | 13.3% | 412 | 22.0% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 58 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 59 | 0.190 | 92.4 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 412 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Teoscar Hernández | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 61 | 0.186 | 89.5 | 12.1% | 26.7% | 387 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 25.7% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Andy Pages | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 85 | 0.215 | 90.1 | 7.1% | 31.2% | 392 | 17.4% | 8.3% | 20.9% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Will Smith | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.126 | 89.1 | 10.8% | 12.0% | 406 | 13.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 116 | 0.124 | 88.0 | 6.8% | 13.0% | 404 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Hyeseong Kim | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 157 | 0.135 | 87.3 | 7.1% | 12.5% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Alex Freeland | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.080 | 89.5 | 9.5% | 12.5% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 19 |