⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CHC
@ 10:15p
LAD
Dodger Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.36×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.226
Temp
57.8°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 82 🟢 A · · 15 0.260 89.7 15.9% 33.3% 397 33.3% 25.0% 46.9% 38
2 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 78 🟡 B · · 25 0.244 90.6 14.1% 26.1% 393 20.8% 25.0% 46.0% 37
3 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 75 🟡 B · · 31 0.255 92.8 13.6% 23.1% 390 11.1% 14.3% 42.6% 22
4 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 68 0.152 92.1 13.5% 16.7% 414 9.1% 18.2% 22.6% 26
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 58 🟠 C · · 69 0.196 89.2 8.1% 30.0% 407 6.2% 16.7% 35.5% 35
6 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.178 85.9 3.1% 15.4% 383 16.7% 25.0% 18.5% 56
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 44 ⚪ D · · 126 0.128 90.0 7.7% 15.0% 395 4.5% 0.0% 12.4% 47
8 Michael Busch Michael Busch 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.094 84.1 6.8% 8.7% 398 8.3% 16.7% 13.1% 34
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 181 0.082 90.6 5.8% 5.3% 389 4.3% 0.0% 10.4% 31
Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 79 🟡 B · · 20 0.196 94.1 22.1% 19.2% 403 9.1% 8.3% 27.2% 32
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 79 🟡 B · · 22 0.167 92.2 17.7% 13.3% 412 23.1% 31.6% 23.0% 58
3 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 70 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 43 0.186 89.5 12.1% 26.7% 387 10.0% 10.0% 32.4% 27
4 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 68 🔵 C+ · · 48 0.190 92.4 15.3% 10.7% 412 9.5% 0.0% 17.8% 36
5 Andy Pages Andy Pages 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 57 0.215 90.1 7.1% 31.2% 392 18.2% 16.7% 26.3% 34
6 Will Smith Will Smith 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 77 0.126 89.1 10.8% 12.0% 406 9.5% 0.0% 12.7% 31
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.124 88.0 6.8% 13.0% 404 4.8% 9.1% 14.1% 37
8 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 46 ⚪ D · · 120 0.135 87.3 7.1% 12.5% 372 0.0% 0.0% 13.2% 22
9 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 142 0.080 89.5 9.5% 12.5% 413 0.0% 0.0% 12.9% 19
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