CHC
@
7:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.072
Temp
69.0°F
Wind
4.6 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Shota Imanaga
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +370 | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.330 | 93.4 | · | 18.2% | 413 | 30.8% | 45.5% | 26.7% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 48 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.197 | 91.8 | · | 50.0% | 400 | 23.1% | 18.2% | 29.6% | 32 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 43 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 50 | 0.220 | 95.2 | · | 16.7% | 390 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 26 | |
| 4 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 42 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 55 | 0.216 | 86.3 | · | 18.8% | 386 | 17.9% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.219 | 90.2 | · | 22.2% | 398 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 38 | ⚪ D | +390 | 🔥 HOT | 79 | 0.128 | 91.2 | · | 27.3% | 405 | 10.3% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 28 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.068 | 89.9 | · | 0.0% | 380 | 4.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 167 | 0.130 | 89.2 | · | 0.0% | 411 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 9 |
| 9 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.151 | 87.1 | · | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 37 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🔥 HOT | 6 | 0.230 | 89.6 | · | 33.3% | 397 | 24.4% | 16.7% | 38.1% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 52 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 17 | 0.282 | 90.8 | · | 28.6% | 390 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 44 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 42 | 0.225 | 90.5 | · | 11.5% | 393 | 14.6% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Shaw | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 64 | 0.206 | 86.9 | · | 22.2% | 357 | 11.1% | 8.3% | 22.8% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 40 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.121 | 91.4 | · | 12.0% | 383 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 34 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.158 | 85.7 | · | 6.7% | 383 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Michael Busch | 33 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.088 | 88.0 | · | 9.1% | 408 | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly | 31 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.133 | 90.8 | · | 0.0% | 414 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Alex Bregman | 28 | ⚪ D | +500 | ❄ COLD | 151 | 0.113 | 89.4 | · | 25.0% | 390 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 32 |