⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CHC
@ 7:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.137
Temp
64.8°F
Wind
13.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
Colin Rea
Colin Rea RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 64 🔵 C+ +425 🌤️ WARM 1 0.330 93.5 · 46.2% 413 31.6% 45.5% 37.6% 32
2 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 53 🟠 C +750 🌤️ WARM 19 0.216 86.4 · 18.5% 386 18.4% 27.3% 21.4% 40
3 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 45 ⚪ D +625 · 42 0.197 92.0 · 28.6% 400 23.7% 18.2% 24.4% 33
4 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 42 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 51 0.219 90.2 · 16.7% 398 9.1% 0.0% 13.6% 11
5 Michael Harris II 41 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 61 0.220 95.1 · 31.6% 390 16.7% 10.0% 16.2% 27
6 Austin Riley Austin Riley 34 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 104 0.128 91.1 · 14.8% 404 7.9% 9.1% 13.5% 25
7 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 28 ⚪ D · · 155 0.130 89.2 · 11.8% 411 8.3% 0.0% 7.9% 12
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 184 0.151 87.3 · 9.5% 393 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 38
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 16 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 227 0.068 89.7 · 10.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 55 🟠 C +625 🌤️ WARM 14 0.230 89.4 · 33.3% 397 25.0% 16.7% 34.9% 23
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 49 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 25 0.282 90.4 · 28.6% 390 10.5% 11.1% 20.0% 29
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 41 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 58 0.225 90.7 · 11.5% 393 15.0% 0.0% 14.1% 33
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 39 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 71 0.121 91.8 · 12.0% 383 10.3% 25.0% 14.6% 36
5 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 84 0.206 86.9 · 22.2% 357 11.4% 8.3% 17.8% 17
6 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 31 ⚪ D +1000 🌧️ COOL 128 0.158 86.1 · 6.9% 383 10.0% 0.0% 8.8% 44
7 Michael Busch Michael Busch 30 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 140 0.088 87.9 · 9.4% 408 7.5% 8.3% 8.2% 30
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 159 0.133 90.8 · 0.0% 414 5.3% 0.0% 7.0% 24
9 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 22 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 200 0.113 89.2 · 21.7% 395 5.3% 0.0% 9.8% 30
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