BOS
@
4:10p
CLE
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
+6.0%
cool air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.419
Temp
63.0°F
Wind
24.2 mph
out
Roof
open
Parker Messick
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 91 | 0.213 | 90.0 | 9.5% | 28.6% | 410 | 19.2% | 25.0% | 22.6% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Jarren Duran | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.165 | 90.4 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 392 | 13.5% | 33.3% | 10.3% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 212 | 0.173 | 87.3 | 6.9% | 10.0% | 364 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 219 | 0.152 | 89.5 | 8.2% | 6.7% | 391 | 11.5% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 237 | 0.070 | 85.2 | 4.8% | 14.3% | 393 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 7.6% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 249 | 0.074 | 84.6 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 386 | 2.1% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Andruw Monasterio | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 251 | 0.109 | 87.9 | 6.1% | 11.1% | 388 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Connor Wong | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 254 | 0.108 | 88.0 | 3.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 4 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Sogard | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 264 | 0.117 | 81.2 | · | 9.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 28 |
Sonny Gray
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Travis Bazzana | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 119 | 0.210 | 90.2 | 5.8% | 21.4% | 399 | 15.4% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Manzardo | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.149 | 89.4 | 11.0% | 20.0% | 399 | 8.0% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Angel Martínez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 135 | 0.231 | 88.1 | 8.5% | 30.8% | 388 | 16.2% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
José Ramírez ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 149 | 0.191 | 90.1 | 8.2% | 9.8% | 396 | 10.3% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Chase DeLauter | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 194 | 0.206 | 89.4 | 7.1% | 34.6% | 376 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Petey Halpin | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 198 | 0.193 | 87.0 | 6.9% | 22.9% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 4 |
| 7 |
|
Brayan Rocchio | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 220 | 0.131 | 86.5 | 5.2% | 11.1% | 381 | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Daniel Schneemann | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 226 | 0.156 | 87.5 | 7.8% | 13.8% | 396 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Hedges ⚡ | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 263 | 0.097 | 87.4 | · | 7.7% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 17 |