⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
BOS
@ 7:10p
CLE
Progressive Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.162
Temp
70.5°F
Wind
9.2 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 66 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 26 0.215 90.1 11.4% 33.3% 410 19.6% 25.0% 33.7% 38
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 38 0.168 90.4 10.2% 33.3% 392 13.7% 33.3% 20.6% 34
3 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.125 88.8 4.4% 4.5% 393 9.1% 25.0% 6.6% 28
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 47 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 105 0.173 87.3 8.3% 20.0% 364 10.0% 8.3% 14.8% 38
5 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 114 0.150 89.9 9.8% 12.8% 391 11.8% 0.0% 8.6% 41
6 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 145 0.074 84.5 5.9% 5.6% 393 12.5% 20.0% 10.2% 18
7 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 36 ⚪ D · · 167 0.081 87.1 7.7% 4.0% 382 2.8% 10.0% 6.5% 28
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 176 0.069 84.8 3.8% 7.7% 386 2.1% 0.0% 9.4% 16
9 Mickey Gasper Mickey Gasper 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 221 0.040 91.6 8.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 83 0.197 88.5 6.8% 20.0% 378 11.4% 28.6% 17.4% 18
2 Kyle Manzardo Kyle Manzardo 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.149 89.4 7.3% 16.7% 399 8.2% 22.2% 14.6% 15
3 Angel Martínez Angel Martínez 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 95 0.231 87.9 5.6% 23.1% 388 16.7% 18.2% 12.5% 42
4 Travis Bazzana Travis Bazzana 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 106 0.210 89.9 3.9% 20.0% 399 16.7% 20.0% 12.7% 41
5 José Ramírez José Ramírez 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 120 0.191 89.9 5.4% 29.4% 396 10.5% 16.7% 11.1% 45
6 Chase DeLauter Chase DeLauter 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 151 0.206 89.8 4.7% 0.0% 376 5.7% 8.3% 9.0% 41
7 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 154 0.062 90.3 4.9% 7.4% 407 4.2% 8.3% 7.7% 15
8 Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.131 86.6 3.5% 16.7% 381 6.0% 9.1% 6.6% 29
9 Daniel Schneemann Daniel Schneemann 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 186 0.156 87.6 5.2% 13.5% 396 7.8% 0.0% 8.6% 23
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

15 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.72

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.