⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
BAL
@ 7:05p
NYY
Yankee Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.622
Temp
62.8°F
Wind
12.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Shane Baz
Shane Baz RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 70 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 1 0.370 93.2 · 47.4% 409 28.6% 30.0% 50.9% 26
2 Ben Rice Ben Rice 62 🔵 C+ · · 3 0.387 94.7 · 40.0% 390 29.6% 20.0% 35.6% 33
3 Giancarlo Stanton Giancarlo Stanton 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 21 0.166 94.1 · 15.4% 410 15.4% 11.1% 23.8% 10
4 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.128 89.6 · 11.1% 377 11.1% 30.0% 13.4% 36
5 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 41 ⚪ D · · 49 0.161 91.8 · 17.4% 378 11.1% 20.0% 13.3% 33
6 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.139 89.2 · 10.7% 374 11.1% 11.1% 9.3% 36
7 Austin Wells Austin Wells 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 66 0.143 91.6 · 16.7% 372 12.5% 25.0% 16.0% 23
8 José Caballero José Caballero 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 83 0.133 83.4 · 7.7% 365 12.5% 20.0% 16.9% 35
9 Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 107 0.083 92.0 · 11.8% 354 15.4% 11.1% 8.1% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.279 89.7 · 26.1% 388 25.8% 15.4% 21.8% 28
2 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 18 0.166 88.5 · 10.0% 429 10.3% 25.0% 20.0% 22
3 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.162 95.3 · 25.0% 395 15.2% 30.8% 24.7% 35
4 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 48 ⚪ D · · 24 0.221 92.4 · 28.6% 410 16.7% 16.7% 22.6% 23
5 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 54 0.185 88.8 · 31.6% 396 19.0% 15.4% 17.2% 35
6 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 71 0.125 87.3 · 16.7% 406 5.6% 7.7% 6.9% 25
7 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 29 ⚪ D · · 106 0.143 87.3 · 18.8% 409 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 27
8 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 140 0.142 89.3 · 0.0% 394 2.9% 0.0% 7.4% 31
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 179 0.018 91.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 16
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