BAL
@
7:05p
NYY
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.622
Temp
62.8°F
Wind
12.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Shane Baz
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.370 | 93.2 | · | 47.4% | 409 | 28.6% | 30.0% | 50.9% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 3 | 0.387 | 94.7 | · | 40.0% | 390 | 29.6% | 20.0% | 35.6% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Giancarlo Stanton | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 21 | 0.166 | 94.1 | · | 15.4% | 410 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 23.8% | 10 |
| 4 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.128 | 89.6 | · | 11.1% | 377 | 11.1% | 30.0% | 13.4% | 36 | |
| 5 |
|
Trent Grisham | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 49 | 0.161 | 91.8 | · | 17.4% | 378 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.139 | 89.2 | · | 10.7% | 374 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Wells | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.143 | 91.6 | · | 16.7% | 372 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 16.0% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
José Caballero | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 83 | 0.133 | 83.4 | · | 7.7% | 365 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Ryan McMahon | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.083 | 92.0 | · | 11.8% | 354 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 24 |
Cam Schlittler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.279 | 89.7 | · | 26.1% | 388 | 25.8% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Coby Mayo | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 18 | 0.166 | 88.5 | · | 10.0% | 429 | 10.3% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Pete Alonso | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.162 | 95.3 | · | 25.0% | 395 | 15.2% | 30.8% | 24.7% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 24 | 0.221 | 92.4 | · | 28.6% | 410 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.185 | 88.8 | · | 31.6% | 396 | 19.0% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.125 | 87.3 | · | 16.7% | 406 | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Leody Taveras | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 106 | 0.143 | 87.3 | · | 18.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 140 | 0.142 | 89.3 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 179 | 0.018 | 91.6 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 16 |