AZ
@
3:45p
SF
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.401
Temp
62.5°F
Wind
10 mph
out
Roof
open
Michael Soroka
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 25 | 0.258 | 89.8 | 11.6% | 22.5% | 388 | 20.4% | 38.5% | 27.2% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Rafael Devers | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 73 | 0.168 | 91.3 | 9.8% | 17.1% | 402 | 12.8% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Willy Adames | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 89 | 0.160 | 88.4 | 9.2% | 22.6% | 376 | 12.0% | 30.8% | 17.8% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Will Brennan | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.146 | 84.6 | 10.5% | 7.4% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Bryce Eldridge | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 181 | 0.097 | 93.2 | 5.8% | 14.3% | 364 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Daniel Susac | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 196 | 0.094 | 89.0 | 8.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Chapman | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 222 | 0.107 | 87.3 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 349 | 2.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Drew Gilbert | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 223 | 0.112 | 84.3 | 4.8% | 20.0% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Arraez | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 233 | 0.106 | 87.4 | · | 2.3% | 345 | 4.0% | 16.7% | 6.3% | 47 |
Trevor McDonald
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.260 | 91.7 | 9.0% | 25.0% | 417 | 12.1% | 9.1% | 22.2% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Ketel Marte | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 61 | 0.192 | 91.5 | 8.1% | 20.6% | 411 | 11.1% | 27.3% | 25.5% | 48 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan Waldschmidt | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.237 | 85.3 | 7.8% | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 154 | 0.196 | 87.3 | 4.6% | 13.6% | 399 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 46 |
| 5 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.121 | 88.4 | 6.4% | 18.2% | 403 | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Aramis Garcia | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 220 | 0.109 | 90.1 | 5.1% | 9.5% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 2 |
| 7 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 221 | 0.112 | 87.7 | 4.8% | 4.2% | 382 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 43 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 249 | 0.100 | 88.2 | 4.6% | 25.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Tommy Troy | 11 | ⚪ D | · | · | 266 | · | · | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 0 |