⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
AZ
@ 3:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.401
Temp
62.5°F
Wind
10 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 69 🔵 C+ · · 25 0.258 89.8 11.6% 22.5% 388 20.4% 38.5% 27.2% 39
2 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 55 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 73 0.168 91.3 9.8% 17.1% 402 12.8% 15.4% 10.9% 38
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 50 🟠 C · · 89 0.160 88.4 9.2% 22.6% 376 12.0% 30.8% 17.8% 37
4 Will Brennan Will Brennan 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 180 0.146 84.6 10.5% 7.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 12
5 Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 181 0.097 93.2 5.8% 14.3% 364 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 20
6 Daniel Susac Daniel Susac 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.094 89.0 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 16
7 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 30 ⚪ D · · 222 0.107 87.3 6.6% 8.3% 349 2.0% 0.0% 7.1% 34
8 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 223 0.112 84.3 4.8% 20.0% 380 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 29
9 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 28 ⚪ D · · 233 0.106 87.4 · 2.3% 345 4.0% 16.7% 6.3% 47
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 44 0.260 91.7 9.0% 25.0% 417 12.1% 9.1% 22.2% 37
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.192 91.5 8.1% 20.6% 411 11.1% 27.3% 25.5% 48
3 Ryan Waldschmidt Ryan Waldschmidt 48 ⚪ D · · 100 0.237 85.3 7.8% 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 15.0% 27
4 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 154 0.196 87.3 4.6% 13.6% 399 10.8% 0.0% 14.1% 46
5 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 182 0.121 88.4 6.4% 18.2% 403 12.0% 11.1% 11.3% 18
6 Aramis Garcia Aramis Garcia 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 220 0.109 90.1 5.1% 9.5% 398 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 2
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 30 ⚪ D · · 221 0.112 87.7 4.8% 4.2% 382 2.6% 0.0% 8.1% 43
8 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 249 0.100 88.2 4.6% 25.0% 409 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 31
9 Tommy Troy Tommy Troy 11 ⚪ D · · 266 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 0
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