AZ
@
1:40p
MIL
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.689
Temp
38.6°F
Wind
2.0 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Michael Soroka
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 25 | 0.311 | 90.0 | 17.9% | 42.9% | 405 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 17.7% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Brice Turang | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 51 | 0.220 | 92.8 | 9.5% | 27.8% | 401 | 11.1% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Bauers | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.209 | 93.2 | 9.7% | 33.3% | 395 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 17.5% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.135 | 93.0 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.112 | 90.6 | 7.7% | 25.0% | 397 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 43 |
| 6 |
|
Sal Frelick | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 143 | 0.094 | 85.2 | 1.5% | 7.7% | 407 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 153 | 0.087 | 87.0 | 6.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
David Hamilton | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 163 | 0.029 | 84.2 | 2.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Brandon Lockridge | 8 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 168 | 0.040 | 85.3 | 2.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 16 |
Brandon Woodruff
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.274 | 90.3 | 12.3% | 18.2% | 401 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 30 | 0.326 | 87.3 | 8.2% | 40.0% | 402 | 21.4% | 20.0% | 29.2% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.179 | 83.9 | 7.6% | 23.1% | 398 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 20.2% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.167 | 87.5 | 6.5% | 12.5% | 420 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 9.4% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Ketel Marte | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 81 | 0.159 | 92.9 | 10.4% | 25.0% | 411 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.204 | 85.6 | 7.9% | 14.3% | 351 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 11 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.171 | 90.9 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 415 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 119 | 0.140 | 86.8 | 2.7% | 11.1% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 123 | 0.145 | 89.6 | 5.9% | 33.3% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 28 |