⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
AZ
@ 1:40p
MIL
American Family Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.689
Temp
38.6°F
Wind
2.0 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 25 0.311 90.0 17.9% 42.9% 405 22.2% 0.0% 17.7% 26
2 Brice Turang Brice Turang 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 51 0.220 92.8 9.5% 27.8% 401 11.1% 9.1% 17.1% 32
3 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.209 93.2 9.7% 33.3% 395 16.7% 0.0% 17.5% 33
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 103 0.135 93.0 13.3% 20.0% 420 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 19
5 William Contreras William Contreras 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 136 0.112 90.6 7.7% 25.0% 397 3.8% 0.0% 8.6% 43
6 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 143 0.094 85.2 1.5% 7.7% 407 4.2% 0.0% 7.7% 30
7 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 25 ⚪ D · · 153 0.087 87.0 6.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 33
8 David Hamilton David Hamilton 19 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.029 84.2 2.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 28
9 Brandon Lockridge Brandon Lockridge 8 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 168 0.040 85.3 2.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 16
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 66 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 29 0.274 90.3 12.3% 18.2% 401 20.0% 20.0% 23.8% 20
2 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 66 🔵 C+ · · 30 0.326 87.3 8.2% 40.0% 402 21.4% 20.0% 29.2% 36
3 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 44 0.179 83.9 7.6% 23.1% 398 16.7% 30.0% 20.2% 29
4 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.167 87.5 6.5% 12.5% 420 25.0% 25.0% 9.4% 19
5 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 47 ⚪ D · · 81 0.159 92.9 10.4% 25.0% 411 7.7% 10.0% 10.0% 38
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.204 85.6 7.9% 14.3% 351 7.1% 10.0% 18.6% 11
7 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 98 0.171 90.9 7.5% 8.3% 415 7.1% 10.0% 13.1% 26
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 119 0.140 86.8 2.7% 11.1% 398 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 17
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 35 ⚪ D · · 123 0.145 89.6 5.9% 33.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 28
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