AZ
@
7:40p
MIL
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.680
Temp
44.3°F
Wind
8.1 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 36 | 0.346 | 87.3 | 8.2% | 40.0% | 402 | 23.1% | 20.0% | 36.0% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.255 | 90.3 | 12.3% | 18.2% | 401 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.152 | 83.9 | 7.6% | 23.1% | 398 | 13.0% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 108 | 0.204 | 85.6 | 7.9% | 14.3% | 351 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.152 | 89.6 | 5.9% | 33.3% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.123 | 87.5 | 6.5% | 12.5% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 137 | 0.180 | 90.9 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 415 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Ketel Marte | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.139 | 92.9 | 10.4% | 25.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 159 | 0.143 | 86.8 | 2.7% | 11.1% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 17 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brice Turang | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 64 | 0.208 | 92.8 | 9.5% | 23.5% | 401 | 11.5% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Bauers | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 81 | 0.206 | 93.2 | 9.7% | 23.8% | 395 | 18.2% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 127 | 0.139 | 93.0 | 13.3% | 16.7% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
William Contreras | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 188 | 0.116 | 90.6 | 7.7% | 10.5% | 397 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 44 |
| 5 |
|
Sal Frelick | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.096 | 85.2 | 1.5% | 12.5% | 407 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 212 | 0.079 | 87.0 | 6.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 232 | 0.029 | 84.2 | 2.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Brandon Lockridge | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 256 | 0.042 | 85.3 | 2.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 257 | 0.000 | 87.0 | 4.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 16 |