⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
ATL
@ 1:05p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.440
Temp
57.9°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
JR Ritchie
JR Ritchie RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 100 🥇 S · 🌤️ WARM 1 0.346 96.9 30.2% 55.6% 404 50.0% 44.4% 46.7% 26
2 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 75 🟡 B · · 11 0.258 89.6 13.3% 28.0% 386 11.1% 11.1% 35.1% 39
3 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 26 0.148 88.2 5.5% 9.7% 400 22.2% 25.0% 14.2% 43
4 Luis García Jr. 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 86 0.117 91.4 5.5% 6.7% 405 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 33
5 Jacob Young Jacob Young 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.119 90.1 5.6% 12.5% 383 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 44
6 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 89 0.128 87.4 4.9% 6.2% 373 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 20
7 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 99 0.056 82.1 2.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 30
8 José Tena José Tena 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.022 89.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 16
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 139 0.013 84.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 34
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Michael Harris II 87 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.255 95.4 19.7% 40.0% 391 21.7% 36.4% 26.6% 30
2 Matt Olson Matt Olson 84 🟢 A · · 5 0.296 92.1 17.7% 28.0% 416 26.1% 36.4% 20.5% 44
3 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 69 🔵 C+ · · 18 0.223 90.5 15.9% 31.8% 400 30.4% 18.2% 14.1% 40
4 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 57 🟠 C · · 36 0.226 89.5 8.8% 22.2% 398 15.0% 11.1% 15.2% 33
5 Austin Riley Austin Riley 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.137 90.4 9.0% 14.3% 385 8.7% 18.2% 10.0% 41
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 59 0.128 88.6 13.4% 8.7% 411 11.1% 12.5% 5.8% 38
7 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 40 ⚪ D · · 81 0.171 86.2 3.3% 17.2% 379 13.0% 9.1% 8.9% 47
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 112 0.141 87.2 6.8% 9.5% 393 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 33
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 119 0.061 91.2 3.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 27
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