ATL
@
1:05p
WSH
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.440
Temp
57.9°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 100 | 🥇 S | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.346 | 96.9 | 30.2% | 55.6% | 404 | 50.0% | 44.4% | 46.7% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
CJ Abrams | 75 | 🟡 B | · | · | 11 | 0.258 | 89.6 | 13.3% | 28.0% | 386 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 35.1% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Daylen Lile | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.148 | 88.2 | 5.5% | 9.7% | 400 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 14.2% | 43 |
| 4 | Luis García Jr. | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.117 | 91.4 | 5.5% | 6.7% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 33 | |
| 5 |
|
Jacob Young | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.119 | 90.1 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.128 | 87.4 | 4.9% | 6.2% | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Jorbit Vivas ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.056 | 82.1 | 2.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
José Tena | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.022 | 89.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 139 | 0.013 | 84.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 34 |
Cade Cavalli
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Harris II | 87 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.255 | 95.4 | 19.7% | 40.0% | 391 | 21.7% | 36.4% | 26.6% | 30 | |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson | 84 | 🟢 A | · | · | 5 | 0.296 | 92.1 | 17.7% | 28.0% | 416 | 26.1% | 36.4% | 20.5% | 44 |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 18 | 0.223 | 90.5 | 15.9% | 31.8% | 400 | 30.4% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 36 | 0.226 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 22.2% | 398 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Riley | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.137 | 90.4 | 9.0% | 14.3% | 385 | 8.7% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 59 | 0.128 | 88.6 | 13.4% | 8.7% | 411 | 11.1% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 81 | 0.171 | 86.2 | 3.3% | 17.2% | 379 | 13.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 47 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 112 | 0.141 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 9.5% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 119 | 0.061 | 91.2 | 3.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 27 |