ATL
@
6:45p
WSH
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.752
Temp
47.5°F
Wind
8.1 mph
in
Roof
open
Bryce Elder
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 93 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.304 | 94.7 | 23.8% | 50.0% | 395 | 50.0% | 42.9% | 33.3% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
CJ Abrams | 71 | 🟡 B | · | · | 22 | 0.280 | 91.9 | 14.0% | 27.3% | 379 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 25.9% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Joey Wiemer | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 65 | 0.227 | 91.0 | 10.0% | 40.0% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.9% | 11 |
| 4 |
|
Daylen Lile | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 76 | 0.097 | 88.4 | 3.2% | 4.2% | · | 14.3% | 16.7% | 6.1% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Brady House | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 108 | 0.123 | 88.7 | 9.8% | 13.3% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 37 |
| 6 | Luis García Jr. | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 114 | 0.117 | 90.8 | 8.5% | 9.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 27 | |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Young | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 122 | 0.159 | 88.4 | 7.1% | 18.2% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Jorbit Vivas ⚡ | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 159 | 0.047 | 80.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.015 | 85.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 33 |
Jake Irvin
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 90 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 3 | 0.291 | 92.5 | 18.8% | 26.3% | 424 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 32.8% | 35 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 73 | 🟡 B | · | · | 19 | 0.188 | 92.1 | 15.6% | 33.3% | 399 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 25.8% | 20 | |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 24 | 0.196 | 89.4 | 16.4% | 31.2% | 394 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.274 | 91.5 | 9.1% | 30.8% | 396 | 17.6% | 11.1% | 28.3% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 37 | 0.118 | 88.0 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 411 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 7.7% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 41 | 0.155 | 89.1 | 5.8% | 17.6% | · | 10.0% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 61 | 0.177 | 86.0 | 3.5% | 17.4% | 376 | 15.0% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 97 | 0.077 | 89.8 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 99 | 0.156 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 35 |