⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
ATL
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.752
Temp
47.5°F
Wind
8.1 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 93 🔥 A+ · 🌤️ WARM 2 0.304 94.7 23.8% 50.0% 395 50.0% 42.9% 33.3% 31
2 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 71 🟡 B · · 22 0.280 91.9 14.0% 27.3% 379 14.3% 14.3% 25.9% 40
3 Joey Wiemer Joey Wiemer 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 65 0.227 91.0 10.0% 40.0% 391 0.0% 0.0% 14.9% 11
4 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 76 0.097 88.4 3.2% 4.2% · 14.3% 16.7% 6.1% 41
5 Brady House Brady House 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 108 0.123 88.7 9.8% 13.3% 395 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 37
6 Luis García Jr. 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 114 0.117 90.8 8.5% 9.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 27
7 Jacob Young Jacob Young 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 122 0.159 88.4 7.1% 18.2% 383 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 35
8 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 159 0.047 80.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 25
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 168 0.015 85.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 33
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 90 🔥 A+ · · 3 0.291 92.5 18.8% 26.3% 424 20.0% 27.3% 32.8% 35
2 Michael Harris II 73 🟡 B · · 19 0.188 92.1 15.6% 33.3% 399 20.0% 27.3% 25.8% 20
3 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 70 🟡 B · · 24 0.196 89.4 16.4% 31.2% 394 25.0% 9.1% 16.1% 37
4 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 66 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 30 0.274 91.5 9.1% 30.8% 396 17.6% 11.1% 28.3% 28
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 60 🔵 C+ · · 37 0.118 88.0 16.4% 5.9% 411 16.7% 20.0% 7.7% 37
6 Austin Riley Austin Riley 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 41 0.155 89.1 5.8% 17.6% · 10.0% 18.2% 16.6% 40
7 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 48 ⚪ D · · 61 0.177 86.0 3.5% 17.4% 376 15.0% 18.2% 13.8% 37
8 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 97 0.077 89.8 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 24
9 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 99 0.156 88.3 7.8% 11.8% 393 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 35
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