ATL
@
7:20p
PHI
Park Factor
1.17×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.055
Temp
47.5°F
Wind
15.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Andrew Painter
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 88 | 🟢 A | · | · | 6 | 0.309 | 92.5 | 18.8% | 26.3% | 424 | 21.1% | 27.3% | 28.1% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 33 | 0.205 | 89.4 | 16.4% | 33.3% | 394 | 26.3% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Smith | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.298 | 91.5 | 9.1% | 30.8% | 396 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 26.1% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 56 | 0.123 | 88.0 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 411 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 6.6% | 39 |
| 5 | Michael Harris II | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 60 | 0.151 | 92.1 | 15.6% | 27.3% | 399 | 15.8% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 22 | |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 66 | 0.163 | 89.1 | 5.8% | 17.6% | · | 10.5% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 114 | 0.171 | 86.0 | 3.5% | 17.4% | 376 | 15.8% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.164 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 12.5% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 37 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 203 | 0.064 | 89.8 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 25 |
Grant Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 87 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.296 | 93.6 | 27.3% | 35.3% | 409 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 35.9% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 18 | 0.257 | 88.9 | 15.1% | 19.1% | 422 | 18.8% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Adolis García | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 85 | 0.143 | 92.7 | 11.6% | 15.4% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 93 | 0.157 | 90.9 | 6.5% | 15.4% | 413 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Trea Turner | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.124 | 87.3 | 1.8% | 9.5% | 359 | 12.5% | 18.2% | 8.7% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Justin Crawford | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.109 | 88.1 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 182 | 0.058 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 354 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 30 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 186 | 0.100 | 88.5 | 3.1% | 7.7% | 401 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 23 | |
| 9 |
|
Bryson Stott | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 195 | 0.018 | 89.9 | 6.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 25 |