⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
ATL
@ 7:20p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.17×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.055
Temp
47.5°F
Wind
15.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 88 🟢 A · · 6 0.309 92.5 18.8% 26.3% 424 21.1% 27.3% 28.1% 33
2 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 70 🟡 B · · 33 0.205 89.4 16.4% 33.3% 394 26.3% 18.2% 15.1% 39
3 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.298 91.5 9.1% 30.8% 396 18.8% 11.1% 26.1% 26
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 60 🔵 C+ · · 56 0.123 88.0 16.4% 5.9% 411 20.0% 25.0% 6.6% 39
5 Michael Harris II 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 60 0.151 92.1 15.6% 27.3% 399 15.8% 18.2% 16.7% 22
6 Austin Riley Austin Riley 57 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 66 0.163 89.1 5.8% 17.6% · 10.5% 18.2% 15.8% 38
7 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 45 ⚪ D · · 114 0.171 86.0 3.5% 17.4% 376 15.8% 18.2% 10.8% 39
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 43 ⚪ D · · 124 0.164 88.3 7.8% 12.5% 393 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 37
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 203 0.064 89.8 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 25
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 87 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 8 0.296 93.6 27.3% 35.3% 409 18.8% 9.1% 35.9% 23
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 80 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 18 0.257 88.9 15.1% 19.1% 422 18.8% 18.2% 22.0% 33
3 Adolis García Adolis García 50 🟠 C · · 85 0.143 92.7 11.6% 15.4% 377 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 28
4 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 48 ⚪ D · · 93 0.157 90.9 6.5% 15.4% 413 6.7% 9.1% 10.8% 25
5 Trea Turner Trea Turner 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 133 0.124 87.3 1.8% 9.5% 359 12.5% 18.2% 8.7% 38
6 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 162 0.109 88.1 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 29
7 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 182 0.058 88.5 0.0% 8.3% 354 6.2% 0.0% 8.2% 30
8 J.T. Realmuto 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 186 0.100 88.5 3.1% 7.7% 401 6.7% 0.0% 8.1% 23
9 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 29 ⚪ D · · 195 0.018 89.9 6.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 25
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