ATL
@
4:10p
LAD
Park Factor
1.16×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
1.040
Temp
59.8°F
Wind
4.6 mph
in
Roof
open
Justin Wrobleski
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.330 | 93.4 | · | 14.3% | 414 | 29.7% | 45.5% | 19.1% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.216 | 86.5 | · | 21.4% | 386 | 18.9% | 27.3% | 17.2% | 40 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 28 | 0.220 | 95.2 | · | 16.7% | 390 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 25 | |
| 4 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 35 | 0.197 | 91.9 | · | 50.0% | 401 | 21.6% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.219 | 90.0 | · | 22.2% | 398 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.128 | 90.8 | · | 30.0% | 404 | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.130 | 89.2 | · | 0.0% | 411 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 4.2% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.151 | 87.4 | · | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 37 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 208 | 0.068 | 89.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 24 |
Bryce Elder
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Andy Pages | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.197 | 90.9 | · | 33.3% | 387 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 58 | 0.218 | 93.3 | · | 12.0% | 400 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 64 | 0.163 | 92.6 | · | 22.9% | 409 | 16.9% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 82 | 0.155 | 92.0 | · | 6.5% | 412 | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Will Smith | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.112 | 89.4 | · | 11.1% | 406 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 118 | 0.130 | 89.1 | · | 11.5% | 397 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Teoscar Hernández | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.163 | 90.8 | · | 26.1% | 387 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 186 | 0.091 | 88.6 | · | 13.3% | 388 | 4.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Hyeseong Kim | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 192 | 0.093 | 85.5 | · | 7.7% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 27 |