ATL
@
—
LAA
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.888
Temp
54.5°F
Wind
3.0 mph
in
Roof
open
José Soriano
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.195 | 91.7 | 8.9% | 18.1% | 398 | 44.4% | 44.4% | 27.5% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 15 | 0.212 | 93.3 | 10.2% | 16.0% | 407 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 28.1% | 28 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 37 | 0.160 | 90.2 | 8.1% | 12.5% | 411 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 39 | |
| 4 |
|
Ronald Acuna Jr. | 51 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 47 | 0.228 | 92.7 | 10.6% | 23.1% | 419 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.5% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Jurickson Profar | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 76 | 0.189 | 89.0 | 7.2% | 11.3% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.6% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 106 | 0.168 | 92.3 | 10.5% | 12.4% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 118 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 9.1% | 15.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.124 | 87.5 | 5.9% | 7.2% | 380 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Allen | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 213 | 0.030 | 84.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 7 |
Chris Sale
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mike Trout | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.206 | 90.9 | 10.0% | 21.3% | 408 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 24.8% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Zach Neto | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 31 | 0.217 | 91.0 | 9.4% | 17.8% | 404 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 23.9% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Yoan Moncada | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 32 | 0.214 | 89.8 | 9.5% | 16.4% | 393 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Taylor Ward | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.247 | 90.1 | 9.3% | 18.2% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Jo Adell | 50 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 55 | 0.249 | 91.7 | 10.4% | 22.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Soler | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 97 | 0.172 | 89.7 | 9.0% | 15.6% | 400 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Schanuel | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.125 | 87.5 | 5.3% | 8.2% | 394 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 6.5% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.158 | 90.9 | 9.2% | 16.4% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.098 | 87.1 | 5.6% | 8.8% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 23 |