⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
ATL
@ 4:10p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.917
Temp
68.6°F
Wind
6.9 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 58 🟠 C +265 🌧️ COOL 16 0.306 93.2 10.3% 19.2% 414 24.5% 7.7% 16.5% 37
2 Michael Harris II 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 19 0.216 93.3 10.3% 27.3% 402 19.6% 30.8% 26.9% 41
3 Austin Riley Austin Riley 45 ⚪ D · · 37 0.195 91.0 8.4% 23.1% 409 11.3% 15.4% 15.8% 26
4 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 41 ⚪ D · · 53 0.179 89.9 7.9% 12.8% 397 9.5% 14.3% 11.1% 23
5 Sandy León Sandy León 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 70 0.225 82.2 7.4% 30.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.6% 12
6 Jorge Mateo Jorge Mateo 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.145 89.1 7.8% 16.7% 380 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 7
7 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 32 ⚪ D · · 80 0.118 89.5 8.9% 0.0% 411 5.7% 0.0% 4.8% 20
8 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.148 86.5 4.9% 12.0% 386 13.2% 0.0% 6.7% 46
9 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 100 0.123 87.0 5.7% 0.0% 389 2.7% 0.0% 4.8% 39
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 23 0.220 90.0 10.8% 28.6% 410 20.0% 25.0% 21.8% 40
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.158 90.6 9.7% 0.0% 392 14.0% 33.3% 11.4% 35
3 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 39 ⚪ D · · 58 0.178 87.3 7.9% 11.1% 364 10.2% 8.3% 9.4% 37
4 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 38 ⚪ D · · 62 0.154 89.9 9.3% 6.7% 391 12.0% 0.0% 7.5% 42
5 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 66 0.078 83.8 5.7% 14.3% 393 14.3% 20.0% 9.2% 16
6 Andruw Monasterio Andruw Monasterio 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 97 0.114 87.8 6.8% 11.1% 388 11.1% 0.0% 6.9% 21
7 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 98 0.069 84.8 3.5% 0.0% 386 2.2% 0.0% 5.6% 14
8 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 99 0.102 91.2 7.5% 7.7% 386 6.9% 0.0% 6.6% 11
9 Nick Sogard Nick Sogard 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 102 0.143 82.5 · 9.1% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 26
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