ATL
@
6:45p
BOS
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+5.0%
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.311
Temp
83.3°F
Wind
12.7 mph
out
Roof
open
Spencer Strider
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 51 | 0.225 | 90.1 | 12.1% | 33.3% | 410 | 20.8% | 25.0% | 18.8% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jarren Duran | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 78 | 0.146 | 90.2 | 10.0% | 30.0% | 387 | 10.4% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 95 | 0.134 | 88.2 | 4.6% | 5.0% | 393 | 11.1% | 50.0% | 7.8% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 120 | 0.157 | 90.0 | 10.3% | 13.0% | 391 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 134 | 0.166 | 87.1 | 8.5% | 17.4% | 364 | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 203 | 0.085 | 86.9 | 8.1% | 4.2% | 382 | 2.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Mickey Gasper | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.046 | 91.5 | 8.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Sogard | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 241 | 0.086 | 83.4 | 7.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 246 | 0.033 | 82.4 | 4.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.1% | 10 |
Ranger Suarez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 56 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 59 | 0.299 | 93.0 | 10.2% | 16.0% | 413 | 23.5% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 38 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 50 | 🟠 C | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.199 | 93.3 | 10.3% | 27.3% | 400 | 18.4% | 23.1% | 21.3% | 40 | |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 49 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.188 | 90.9 | 8.2% | 25.0% | 409 | 11.8% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Eli White | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 151 | 0.181 | 87.2 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 355 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 5 |
| 5 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 183 | 0.123 | 89.7 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 411 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Sandy León | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.206 | 83.7 | 7.3% | 25.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 31 | ⚪ D | +1000 | · | 202 | 0.151 | 86.3 | 5.1% | 13.0% | 386 | 13.7% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 43 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 220 | 0.126 | 87.0 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 389 | 2.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Ha-Seong Kim | 11 | ⚪ D | · | · | 258 | 0.000 | 86.3 | 5.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 25 |