⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
ATL
@ 6:45p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+5.0%
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.311
Temp
83.3°F
Wind
12.7 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 51 0.225 90.1 12.1% 33.3% 410 20.8% 25.0% 18.8% 36
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 78 0.146 90.2 10.0% 30.0% 387 10.4% 16.7% 15.9% 30
3 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 95 0.134 88.2 4.6% 5.0% 393 11.1% 50.0% 7.8% 27
4 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 44 ⚪ D · · 120 0.157 90.0 10.3% 13.0% 391 12.5% 0.0% 10.4% 41
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 42 ⚪ D · · 134 0.166 87.1 8.5% 17.4% 364 8.5% 8.3% 7.0% 31
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 31 ⚪ D · · 203 0.085 86.9 8.1% 4.2% 382 2.9% 10.0% 7.5% 29
7 Mickey Gasper Mickey Gasper 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 236 0.046 91.5 8.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 25
8 Nick Sogard Nick Sogard 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 241 0.086 83.4 7.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 19
9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 246 0.033 82.4 4.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 10
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 56 🟠 C +750 🌧️ COOL 59 0.299 93.0 10.2% 16.0% 413 23.5% 0.0% 13.6% 38
2 Michael Harris II 50 🟠 C +1000 🌧️ COOL 72 0.199 93.3 10.3% 27.3% 400 18.4% 23.1% 21.3% 40
3 Austin Riley Austin Riley 49 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 77 0.188 90.9 8.2% 25.0% 409 11.8% 23.1% 19.3% 30
4 Eli White Eli White 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 151 0.181 87.2 7.1% 14.3% 355 25.0% 0.0% 12.1% 5
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 183 0.123 89.7 9.1% 0.0% 411 6.1% 0.0% 5.4% 15
6 Sandy León Sandy León 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 185 0.206 83.7 7.3% 25.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 12
7 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 31 ⚪ D +1000 · 202 0.151 86.3 5.1% 13.0% 386 13.7% 0.0% 7.9% 43
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 28 ⚪ D · · 220 0.126 87.0 5.9% 0.0% 389 2.9% 8.3% 5.4% 38
9 Ha-Seong Kim Ha-Seong Kim 11 ⚪ D · · 258 0.000 86.3 5.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 25
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