⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
ATH
@ 4:10p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.862
Temp
50.8°F
Wind
3.5 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 85 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 4 0.296 92.8 18.8% 45.5% 382 28.6% 28.6% 32.9% 23
2 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 68 0.156 83.8 9.1% 12.9% 391 18.2% 27.3% 14.1% 40
3 J.P. Crawford 41 ⚪ D · · 117 0.109 88.5 8.7% 11.1% · 4.8% 10.0% 7.7% 33
4 Cole Young Cole Young 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 118 0.116 84.9 7.0% 12.5% 381 9.1% 0.0% 7.8% 33
5 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 120 0.214 84.7 5.1% 33.3% 348 11.1% 0.0% 15.2% 17
6 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 140 0.122 90.9 8.0% 15.4% 426 4.5% 9.1% 8.8% 37
7 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 174 0.064 87.9 4.2% 7.7% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 35
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 185 0.091 87.2 7.1% 13.3% 399 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 33
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 22 ⚪ D · · 219 0.053 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 15
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 74 🟡 B · · 20 0.301 93.2 12.2% 33.3% 394 30.0% 16.7% 32.0% 40
2 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 65 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 37 0.152 97.9 14.3% 17.6% 363 15.0% 25.0% 17.8% 29
3 Max Muncy Max Muncy 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.178 95.3 12.8% 15.4% 383 25.0% 31.6% 20.1% 59
4 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 59 0.213 88.4 13.0% 22.2% 406 0.0% 0.0% 16.9% 36
5 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 82 0.183 89.7 8.3% 9.5% 403 5.0% 8.3% 11.1% 45
6 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 30 ⚪ D · · 184 0.107 87.9 5.6% 20.0% 365 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 35
7 Jeff McNeil Jeff McNeil 25 ⚪ D · · 205 0.111 86.3 0.0% 14.3% · 4.8% 8.3% 8.6% 44
8 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 24 ⚪ D · · 211 0.100 84.5 0.0% 11.8% · 5.3% 9.1% 8.3% 51
9 Denzel Clarke Denzel Clarke 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 237 0.019 93.0 4.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 20
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