ATH
@
4:10p
SEA
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.862
Temp
50.8°F
Wind
3.5 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Aaron Civale
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 85 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 4 | 0.296 | 92.8 | 18.8% | 45.5% | 382 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 32.9% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.156 | 83.8 | 9.1% | 12.9% | 391 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 14.1% | 40 |
| 3 | J.P. Crawford | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 117 | 0.109 | 88.5 | 8.7% | 11.1% | · | 4.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 33 | |
| 4 |
|
Cole Young | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 118 | 0.116 | 84.9 | 7.0% | 12.5% | 381 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 120 | 0.214 | 84.7 | 5.1% | 33.3% | 348 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 140 | 0.122 | 90.9 | 8.0% | 15.4% | 426 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 174 | 0.064 | 87.9 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.091 | 87.2 | 7.1% | 13.3% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 219 | 0.053 | 85.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 15 |
Logan Gilbert
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 74 | 🟡 B | · | · | 20 | 0.301 | 93.2 | 12.2% | 33.3% | 394 | 30.0% | 16.7% | 32.0% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 37 | 0.152 | 97.9 | 14.3% | 17.6% | 363 | 15.0% | 25.0% | 17.8% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.178 | 95.3 | 12.8% | 15.4% | 383 | 25.0% | 31.6% | 20.1% | 59 |
| 4 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.213 | 88.4 | 13.0% | 22.2% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.9% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.183 | 89.7 | 8.3% | 9.5% | 403 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 45 |
| 6 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 184 | 0.107 | 87.9 | 5.6% | 20.0% | 365 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 205 | 0.111 | 86.3 | 0.0% | 14.3% | · | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 211 | 0.100 | 84.5 | 0.0% | 11.8% | · | 5.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 51 |
| 9 |
|
Denzel Clarke | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 237 | 0.019 | 93.0 | 4.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 20 |