ATH
@
9:40p
SEA
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.822
Temp
51.3°F
Wind
4.9 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Jacob Lopez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 92 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 2 | 0.305 | 92.8 | 18.8% | 45.5% | 382 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 32.6% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.129 | 83.8 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 391 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 7.6% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 89 | 0.214 | 84.7 | 5.1% | 33.3% | 348 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 91 | 0.128 | 90.9 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 426 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 34 |
| 5 | J.P. Crawford | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 95 | 0.118 | 88.5 | 8.7% | 12.5% | · | 5.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 32 | |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.122 | 84.9 | 7.0% | 13.3% | 381 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 118 | 0.067 | 87.9 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.093 | 87.2 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 180 | 0.057 | 85.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 12 |
Luis Castillo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 30 | 0.281 | 93.2 | 12.2% | 30.4% | 394 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 18.6% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 38 | 0.160 | 97.9 | 14.3% | 18.8% | 363 | 15.8% | 25.0% | 16.3% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.190 | 95.3 | 12.8% | 15.4% | 383 | 26.5% | 31.6% | 18.4% | 60 |
| 4 |
|
Brent Rooker | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 50 | 0.147 | 89.0 | 19.2% | 22.2% | 365 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 6 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.169 | 89.7 | 8.3% | 9.5% | 403 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 45 |
| 6 |
|
Lawrence Butler ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 170 | 0.111 | 87.9 | 5.6% | 20.0% | 365 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 203 | 0.095 | 84.5 | 0.0% | 11.8% | · | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 50 |
| 8 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 206 | 0.074 | 86.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 42 |
| 9 |
|
Denzel Clarke | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.019 | 93.0 | 4.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 21 |