ATH
@
1:35p
BAL
Park Factor
1.33×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
1.329
Temp
69.1°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Chris Bassitt
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.248 | 93.0 | · | 29.6% | 412 | 22.9% | 16.7% | 31.0% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.193 | 90.9 | · | 21.7% | 393 | 11.8% | 18.2% | 30.9% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.292 | 90.8 | · | 23.5% | 396 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 22.3% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Max Muncy | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 40 | 0.163 | 92.6 | · | 22.9% | 409 | 16.9% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Brent Rooker | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 41 | 0.111 | 88.9 | · | 33.3% | 380 | 16.0% | 37.5% | 16.1% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 52 | 0.184 | 94.6 | · | 29.4% | 404 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 72 | 0.121 | 90.3 | · | 25.0% | 378 | 3.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.105 | 84.4 | · | 14.3% | 368 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 42 |
| 9 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 157 | 0.100 | 86.1 | · | 7.1% | 395 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 33 |
Luis Severino
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.162 | 94.9 | · | 25.0% | 394 | 17.9% | 35.7% | 30.6% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.279 | 89.6 | · | 20.7% | 388 | 21.6% | 7.1% | 21.9% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 24 | 0.221 | 92.9 | · | 23.5% | 410 | 12.5% | 7.7% | 19.8% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 44 | 0.185 | 87.5 | · | 26.1% | 396 | 14.8% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.166 | 90.1 | · | 7.7% | 429 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Leody Taveras | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 79 | 0.143 | 87.2 | · | 17.6% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.125 | 87.9 | · | 15.4% | 406 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.142 | 88.4 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 2.5% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 201 | 0.018 | 92.1 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 20 |