Anatomy of a Homer: Randal Grichuk's 408-footer
Randal Grichuk off Kyle Freeland · Rate Field
The situation
Bottom of the 3rd, 1-1 count, a runner on, CWS trailing 1-0. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 19 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Kyle Freeland threw a sweeper at 84.0 mph, in the strike zone, down, pitch 3 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 78.9 mph, attack angle 13°, contact at 111.5 mph off the bat, 20° launch.
The flight
408 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Rate Field, empirical park factor 1.06, 70 degrees, Partly Cloudy, 6 mph, L To R.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.