2026-09-16 · SF @ STL
Anatomy of a Homer: Drew Gilbert's 415-footer
Drew Gilbert off Riley O'Brien · Busch Stadium
104.3
Exit velo (mph)
32°
Launch angle
415
Distance (ft)
70.0
Bat speed (mph)
The situation
Top of the 10th, 0-0 count, a runner on, tied 4-4. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 33 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Riley O'Brien threw a sweeper at 79.7 mph, in the strike zone, up, pitch 1 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 70.0 mph, attack angle 11°, contact at 104.3 mph off the bat, 32° launch.
The flight
415 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Busch Stadium, 91 degrees, Cloudy, 4 mph, In From RF.
Where it was — sweeper, 79.7 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Drew Gilbert wasn't ranked on our board that day — some days the game beats the model, and we say so.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.