2026-09-12 · CWS @ STL
Anatomy of a Homer: Leonardo Bernal's 421-footer
Leonardo Bernal off Grant Taylor · Busch Stadium
106.2
Exit velo (mph)
23°
Launch angle
421
Distance (ft)
72.8
Bat speed (mph)
+750
Morning line
The situation
Bottom of the 8th, 1-2 count, bases empty, tied 4-4. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 27 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Grant Taylor threw a 4-seam fastball at 98.2 mph, out of the zone, pitch 4 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 72.8 mph, attack angle 6°, contact at 106.2 mph off the bat, 23° launch.
The flight
421 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Busch Stadium, 88 degrees, Clear, 5 mph, Out To RF.
Where it was — 4-seam fastball, 98.2 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Leonardo Bernal wasn't ranked on our board that day — some days the game beats the model, and we say so.
The morning line was +750.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.