2026-09-10 · PIT @ CWS
Anatomy of a Homer: Oneil Cruz's 433-footer
Oneil Cruz off Erick Fedde · Rate Field
117.4
Exit velo (mph)
25°
Launch angle
433
Distance (ft)
81.4
Bat speed (mph)
+400
Morning line
The situation
Top of the 4th, 1-1 count, bases empty, tied 0-0. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 12 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Erick Fedde threw a changeup at 88.2 mph, in the strike zone, pitch 3 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 81.4 mph, attack angle 9°, contact at 117.4 mph off the bat, 25° launch.
The flight
433 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Rate Field, empirical park factor 1.07, 74 degrees, Clear, 8 mph, L To R.
Where it was — changeup, 88.2 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Our model ranked Oneil Cruz #23 on the morning slate; he hit 2nd.
The morning line was +400.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.