2026-09-07 · ATL @ PHI
Anatomy of a Homer: Kyle Schwarber's 415-footer
Kyle Schwarber off Didier Fuentes · Citizens Bank Park
107.8
Exit velo (mph)
29°
Launch angle
415
Distance (ft)
81.2
Bat speed (mph)
+210
Morning line
The situation
Bottom of the 8th, 2-2 count, bases empty, tied 0-0. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 32 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Didier Fuentes threw a 4-seam fastball at 99.7 mph, in the strike zone, pitch 5 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 81.2 mph, attack angle 14°, contact at 107.8 mph off the bat, 29° launch.
The flight
415 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Citizens Bank Park, empirical park factor 1.10, 77 degrees, Partly Cloudy, 8 mph, In From LF.
Where it was — 4-seam fastball, 99.7 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Our model ranked Kyle Schwarber #1 on the morning slate; he hit 1st.
The morning line was +210.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.