2026-09-01 · SEA @ BOS
Anatomy of a Homer: Dominic Canzone's 406-footer
Dominic Canzone off Jedixson Paez · Fenway Park
110.9
Exit velo (mph)
27°
Launch angle
406
Distance (ft)
80.5
Bat speed (mph)
+500
Morning line
The situation
Top of the 1st, 1-1 count, bases empty, tied 0-0. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 10 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Jedixson Paez threw a changeup at 84.1 mph, in the strike zone, pitch 3 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 80.5 mph, attack angle 19°, contact at 110.9 mph off the bat, 27° launch.
The flight
406 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Fenway Park, empirical park factor 0.92, 66 degrees, Cloudy, 4 mph, Out To LF.
Where it was — changeup, 84.1 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Our model ranked Dominic Canzone #79 on the morning slate; he hit 2nd.
The morning line was +500.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.