2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Park + Weather Stacking
Today's games ranked by HR-friendliness — park factor combined with live weather.
14 games on 2026-06-17
Historical Snapshot
Validated pre-game snapshot. This view was captured before first pitch.
refresh_11 - 2026-06-17T11:00:28-04:00
Dodger Stadium
TB @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · cool air · light wind out · roof open
1.265
Combined
Park Factor 1.265
Weather Mod 0
Temp 63.1°F
Wind 4.4 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#58 Andy Pages 14.6%
Chase Field
LAA @ AZ
Chase Field · hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof
1.236
Combined
Park Factor 0.951
Weather Mod +3
Temp 94.0°F
Wind 3 mph cross
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#96 Gabriel Moreno 16.9%
Great American Ball Park
NYM @ CIN
Great American Ball Park · warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
1.197
Combined
Park Factor 1.197
Weather Mod 0
Temp 74.1°F
Wind 4 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#46 Mark Vientos 21.8%
Minute Maid Park
DET @ HOU
Minute Maid Park · warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof
1.176
Combined
Park Factor 0.980
Weather Mod +2
Temp 76.4°F
Wind 11.0 mph out
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#24 Yordan Álvarez 17.8%
Sutter Health Park
PIT @ ATH
Sutter Health Park · Unknown stadium
1.168
Combined
Park Factor 1.168
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind
Top Picks in This Game
#9 Brandon Lowe 36.4%
Yankee Stadium
CWS @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · warm air · light wind out · roof open
1.137
Combined
Park Factor 1.137
Weather Mod 0
Temp 75.1°F
Wind 4 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#16 Paul Goldschmidt 37.0%
Nationals Park
KC @ WSH
Nationals Park · warm air · light crosswind · roof open
1.120
Combined
Park Factor 1.018
Weather Mod +1
Temp 81.1°F
Wind 3 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#57 Jac Caglianone 17.9%
Citizens Bank Park
MIA @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · warm air · light wind out · roof open
1.105
Combined
Park Factor 1.105
Weather Mod 0
Temp 77.9°F
Wind 5.0 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#42 Brandon Marsh 20.3%
Wrigley Field
COL @ CHC
Wrigley Field · mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
1.008
Combined
Park Factor 1.008
Weather Mod 0
Temp 66.0°F
Wind 9.7 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#13 Ian Happ 28.6%
Fenway Park
TOR @ BOS
Fenway Park · warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
0.937
Combined
Park Factor 0.937
Weather Mod 0
Temp 76.5°F
Wind 2.0 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#50 Brandon Valenzuela 21.5%
American Family Field
CLE @ MIL
American Family Field · cool air · light wind out · retractable roof
0.924
Combined
Park Factor 1.027
Weather Mod -1
Temp 55.9°F
Wind 2.0 mph out
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#61 Kyle Manzardo 11.6%
Truist Park
SF @ ATL
Truist Park · warm air · light wind in · roof open
0.924
Combined
Park Factor 0.924
Weather Mod 0
Temp 72.8°F
Wind 2.0 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#28 Drake Baldwin 19.8%
Busch Stadium
SD @ STL
Busch Stadium · warm air · light wind in · roof open
0.916
Combined
Park Factor 0.833
Weather Mod +1
Temp 80.8°F
Wind 3 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#103 Gavin Sheets 15.6%
T-Mobile Park
BAL @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · cool air · light crosswind · retractable roof
0.813
Combined
Park Factor 0.903
Weather Mod -1
Temp 56.7°F
Wind 3 mph cross
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#14 Dominic Canzone 29.9%
🏟️
Six home runs to freedom

See every ballpark advantage today

Sign up to see all park + weather stacking data — find where the wind is blowing out and the fences are short.

11 more waiting in the on-deck circle
How to read this: Combined score = park factor × (1 + weather_modifier/10). Games at the top are in the most HR-friendly environments. Great for same-game parlays — stack multiple batters from the same high-scoring game. Park factor comes from 2025–26 Statcast data; weather modifier incorporates temperature, wind speed, and wind direction relative to home plate.
LD 3.3.16 · build 501

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.