2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Park + Weather Stacking
Today's games ranked by HR-friendliness — park factor combined with live weather.
15 games on 2026-06-14
Historical Snapshot
Validated pre-game snapshot. This view was captured before first pitch.
refresh_11 - 2026-06-14T11:00:32-04:00
Camden Yards
SD @ BAL
Camden Yards · hot air · light crosswind · roof open
1.428
Combined
Park Factor 1.190
Weather Mod +2
Temp 85.5°F
Wind 6.0 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#38 Samuel Basallo 18.4%
Great American Ball Park
AZ @ CIN
Great American Ball Park · warm air · steady wind out · roof open
1.361
Combined
Park Factor 1.134
Weather Mod +2
Temp 74.7°F
Wind 9.0 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#6 Corbin Carroll 27.9%
Nationals Park
SEA @ WSH
Nationals Park · hot air · light wind in · roof open
1.253
Combined
Park Factor 1.044
Weather Mod +2
Temp 85.6°F
Wind 5.0 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#7 James Wood 34.9%
COL @ ATH
Las Vegas Ballpark · Unknown stadium
1.220
Combined
Park Factor 1.220
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind
Top Picks in This Game
#3 Hunter Goodman 41.8%
Fenway Park
TEX @ BOS
Fenway Park · hot air · light crosswind · roof open
1.123
Combined
Park Factor 0.936
Weather Mod +2
Temp 85.5°F
Wind 6.0 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#73 Jake Burger 18.2%
Rogers Centre
NYY @ TOR
Rogers Centre · neutral
1.121
Combined
Park Factor 1.121
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#56 Alejandro Kirk 23.7%
Kauffman Stadium
HOU @ KC
Kauffman Stadium · mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
1.101
Combined
Park Factor 1.001
Weather Mod +1
Temp 68.4°F
Wind 7 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#15 Yordan Álvarez 28.2%
Citi Field
ATL @ NYM
Citi Field · hot air · light partial wind out · roof open
1.089
Combined
Park Factor 0.990
Weather Mod +1
Temp 84.1°F
Wind 4 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#45 Eli White 16.4%
American Family Field
PHI @ MIL
American Family Field · cool air · light crosswind · retractable roof
1.002
Combined
Park Factor 1.002
Weather Mod 0
Temp 64.7°F
Wind 6.0 mph cross
Roof retractable
Top Picks in This Game
#32 Bryce Harper 21.4%
Angel Stadium
TB @ LAA
Angel Stadium · cool air · light wind in · roof open
0.963
Combined
Park Factor 0.963
Weather Mod 0
Temp 63.6°F
Wind 4.2 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#75 Jonathan Aranda 12.9%
Rate Field
LAD @ CWS
Rate Field · Unknown stadium
0.919
Combined
Park Factor 0.919
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind
Top Picks in This Game
#52 Colson Montgomery 30.9%
Target Field
STL @ MIN
Target Field · cool air · light wind out · roof open
0.917
Combined
Park Factor 1.019
Weather Mod -1
Temp 59.4°F
Wind 6.0 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#4 Byron Buxton 35.7%
PNC Park
MIA @ PIT
PNC Park · warm air · light wind out · roof open
0.815
Combined
Park Factor 0.815
Weather Mod 0
Temp 72.9°F
Wind 1.0 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#103 Spencer Horwitz 9.7%
Oracle Park
CHC @ SF
Oracle Park · cool air · light crosswind · roof open
0.804
Combined
Park Factor 0.893
Weather Mod -1
Temp 58.5°F
Wind 7 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#88 Pete Crow-Armstrong 17.4%
Progressive Field
DET @ CLE
Progressive Field · warm air · steady wind in · roof open
0.723
Combined
Park Factor 0.904
Weather Mod -2
Temp 78.3°F
Wind 11.8 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#68 Riley Greene 16.6%
🏟️
Six home runs to freedom

See every ballpark advantage today

Sign up to see all park + weather stacking data — find where the wind is blowing out and the fences are short.

12 more waiting in the on-deck circle
How to read this: Combined score = park factor × (1 + weather_modifier/10). Games at the top are in the most HR-friendly environments. Great for same-game parlays — stack multiple batters from the same high-scoring game. Park factor comes from 2025–26 Statcast data; weather modifier incorporates temperature, wind speed, and wind direction relative to home plate.
LD 3.3.16 · build 501

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.