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Strong Day
📅 2026-06-22
2
Top-5 Hits
2
Top-15 Hits
14
HRs in Slate
88%
Coverage
213
Scored
What Happened
A strong day: 2 of the top 5 hit home runs.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
9 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
9 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
6 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
4 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
2 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Brady Singer: {'batter': 'Jackson Chourio', 'rank': 2, 'score': 81.0}, {'batter': 'Jake Bauers', 'rank': 3, 'score': 80.0}
Zebby Matthews: {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 5, 'score': 77.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 9, 'score': 73.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ✅ | Byron Buxton | Eric Lauer | 31.4% | 85 | 6.5 | 1.00 | 🌤️ | 14.4% | 106.8 mph · 394ft · 35.0° |
| 2 | — | Jackson Chourio | Brady Singer | 36.2% | 81 | 6.2 | 1.13 | 🌧️ | 11.9% | |
| 3 | — | Jake Bauers | Brady Singer | 41.6% | 80 | 6.2 | 1.13 | 🌤️ | 11.7% | |
| 4 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Foster Griffin | 32.6% | 79 | 4.5 | 0.99 | · | 14.9% | |
| 5 | ✅ | Shohei Ohtani | Zebby Matthews | 27.8% | 77 | 4.8 | 1.00 | 🔥 | 13.9% | 112.8 mph · 414ft · 25.0° |
| 6 | — | Hunter Goodman | Jake Bennett | 32.8% | 75 | 3.4 | 1.15 | · | 11.1% | |
| 7 | — | JJ Bleday | Brandon Woodruff | 32.5% | 75 | 4.0 | 1.13 | ❄ | 9.2% | |
| 8 | — | Willson Contreras | Ryan Feltner | 36.8% | 74 | 4.8 | 1.15 | ❄ | 11.7% | |
| 9 | — | Max Muncy | Zebby Matthews | 28.9% | 73 | 4.8 | 1.00 | 🌧️ | 13.3% | |
| 10 | — | Juan Soto | Shota Imanaga | 27.7% | 73 | 4.5 | 0.98 | 🌧️ | 12.4% | |
| 11 | — | Ben Rice | Framber Valdez | 39.4% | 72 | 4.3 | 1.02 | · | 10.0% | |
| 12 | — | Colson Montgomery | Gavin Williams | 32.5% | 72 | 4.1 | 0.96 | 🌤️ | 13.2% | |
| 13 | — | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Kodai Senga | 28.8% | 72 | 6.9 | 0.98 | 🌧️ | 11.6% | |
| 14 | — | Yordan Alvarez | Dylan Cease | 34.8% | 71 | 2.4 | 1.18 | · | 9.4% | |
| 15 | — | Dillon Dingler | Gerrit Cole | 32.9% | 70 | 4.5 | 1.02 | 🌧️ | 9.8% |
All 14 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Byron Buxton | 31.4% | 106.8 | 394ft | 35.0° |
| 5 | Shohei Ohtani | 27.8% | 112.8 | 414ft | 25.0° |
| 50 | Freddie Freeman | 13.7% | 104.2 | 423ft | 32.0° |
| 53 | Kazuma Okamoto | 22.6% | 101.9 | 388ft | 23.0° |
| 68 | Jorge Soler | 19.6% | 106.0 | 391ft | 33.0° |
| 72 | Curtis Mead | 23.3% | 99.1 | 390ft | 28.0° |
| 75 | Manny Machado | 13.9% | 104.6 | 418ft | 21.0° |
| 85 | Coby Mayo | 13.3% | 113.0 | 368ft | 21.0° |
| 100 | Riley Greene | 13.6% | 107.5 | 422ft | 39.0° |
| 107 | Amed Rosario | 12.8% | 103.2 | 373ft | 24.0° |
| 121 | Brandon Marsh | 9.1% | 102.5 | 376ft | 24.0° |
| 158 | Ezequiel Duran | 8.0% | 103.4 | 407ft | 29.0° |
| 167 | Tommy Troy | 7.3% | 109.9 | 444ft | 26.0° |
| 183 | Taylor Ward | 5.3% | 105.7 | 419ft | 29.0° |