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Strong Day
📅 2026-06-20
2
Top-5 Hits
3
Top-15 Hits
25
HRs in Slate
89%
Coverage
214
Scored
What Happened
A strong day: 2 of the top 5 hit home runs.
A high-volume day with 25 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
10 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
6 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
13 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
6 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Tomoyuki Sugano: {'batter': 'Brandon Lowe', 'rank': 2, 'score': 82.0}, {'batter': 'Bryan Reynolds', 'rank': 10, 'score': 75.0}
Trevor Rogers: {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 4, 'score': 80.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 12, 'score': 73.0}
Walbert Ureña: {'batter': 'Nick Kurtz', 'rank': 5, 'score': 77.0}, {'batter': 'Shea Langeliers', 'rank': 15, 'score': 72.0}
Troy Melton: {'batter': 'Colson Montgomery', 'rank': 6, 'score': 77.0}, {'batter': 'Randal Grichuk', 'rank': 9, 'score': 75.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ✅ | Byron Buxton | Zac Gallen | 35.1% | 86 | 5.6 | 0.96 | 🌤️ | 14.0% | 104.5 mph · 402ft · 25.0° |
| 2 | — | Brandon Lowe | Tomoyuki Sugano | 36.2% | 82 | 5.4 | 1.14 | · | 13.4% | |
| 3 | — | Ben Rice | Andrew Abbott | 42.8% | 81 | 4.8 | 1.13 | · | 10.5% | |
| 4 | ✅ | Shohei Ohtani | Trevor Rogers | 32.9% | 80 | 4.5 | 1.22 | 🌤️ | 10.8% | 114.6 mph · 413ft · 40.0° |
| 5 | — | Nick Kurtz | Walbert Ureña | 37.6% | 77 | 4.2 | 1.21 | · | 9.9% | |
| 6 | — | Colson Montgomery | Troy Melton | 36.7% | 77 | 5.4 | 1.05 | 🌤️ | 9.4% | |
| 7 | — | James Wood | Ian Seymour | 36.5% | 76 | 4.7 | 1.05 | 🌧️ | 14.4% | |
| 8 | — | Hunter Goodman | Paul Skenes | 41.1% | 75 | 2.7 | 1.14 | · | 10.0% | |
| 9 | — | Randal Grichuk | Troy Melton | 31.2% | 75 | 5.4 | 1.05 | 🔥 | 10.0% | |
| 10 | — | Bryan Reynolds | Tomoyuki Sugano | 24.3% | 75 | 5.4 | 1.14 | 🔥 | 12.2% | |
| 11 | ✅ | Kyle Schwarber | Freddy Peralta | 40.1% | 73 | 4.1 | 1.09 | 🌧️ | 10.5% | 103.3 mph · 359ft · 43.0° |
| 12 | — | Max Muncy | Trevor Rogers | 36.1% | 73 | 4.5 | 1.22 | 🌧️ | 10.4% | |
| 13 | — | Zach Neto | J.T. Ginn | 29.8% | 73 | 4.2 | 1.21 | 🌤️ | 9.3% | |
| 14 | — | Dominic Canzone | Connelly Early | 29.0% | 72 | 5.0 | 0.86 | · | 13.2% | |
| 15 | — | Shea Langeliers | Walbert Ureña | 28.7% | 72 | 4.2 | 1.21 | · | 9.1% |
All 25 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Byron Buxton | 35.1% | 104.5 | 402ft | 25.0° |
| 4 | Shohei Ohtani | 32.9% | 114.6 | 413ft | 40.0° |
| 11 | Kyle Schwarber | 40.1% | 103.3 | 359ft | 43.0° |
| 16 | Paul Goldschmidt | 36.7% | 104.3 | 396ft | 25.0° |
| 25 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 19.9% | 106.5 | 400ft | 32.0° |
| 26 | Spencer Horwitz | 17.2% | 102.7 | 434ft | 32.0° |
| 40 | CJ Abrams | 17.5% | 102.8 | 378ft | 38.0° |
| 41 | Kazuma Okamoto | 25.8% | 107.3 | 377ft | 37.0° |
| 50 | Dillon Dingler | 22.4% | 105.8 | 430ft | 25.0° |
| 55 | Bryce Harper | 21.4% | 97.7 | 385ft | 37.0° |
| 59 | Spencer Steer | 20.1% | 102.3 | 407ft | 34.0° |
| 60 | Dylan Crews | 14.9% | 106.8 | 442ft | 25.0° |
| 89 | Sam Antonacci | 14.2% | 100.2 | 393ft | 28.0° |
| 108 | Kyle Manzardo | 8.4% | 100.0 | 388ft | 26.0° |
| 113 | Jake Burger | 17.5% | 104.1 | 408ft | 32.0° |
| 116 | Matt Shaw | 13.5% | 101.2 | 390ft | 36.0° |
| 117 | Manny Machado | 11.3% | 108.1 | 408ft | 20.0° |
| 121 | Casey Schmitt | 14.4% | 104.1 | 414ft | 30.0° |
| 123 | Mark Vientos | 16.0% | 99.0 | 383ft | 33.0° |
| 131 | Daulton Varsho | 11.1% | 105.6 | 368ft | 24.0° |
| 135 | Travis Bazzana | 9.4% | 100.8 | 406ft | 29.0° |
| 139 | Wilyer Abreu | 8.5% | 106.3 | 414ft | 23.0° |
| 150 | Carson Benge | 9.1% | 105.4 | 420ft | 32.0° |
| 173 | Jake McCarthy | 10.0% | 104.9 | 341ft | 18.0° |
| 176 | Ozzie Albies | 9.0% | 94.4 | 339ft | 36.0° |