2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
← Case Studies Golden Day

📅 2026-06-12

3 Top-5 Hits
7 Top-15 Hits
35 HRs in Slate
97% Coverage
235 Scored

What Happened

An outstanding day: 3 of the top 5 ranked batters hit home runs.

The top 15 captured 7 home runs — exceptional concentration at the top of the board.

A high-volume day with 35 HRs across scored matchups.

Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.

Why It Worked

🎯
Pitcher Vulnerability
12 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
🌡️
Warm Weather
10 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
🏟️
HR-Friendly Parks
11 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
🔥
Hot Bats
8 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
2 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential

🔥 High Conviction Day

0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).

Stack Alerts: COL Bullpen Proxy: {'batter': 'Nick Kurtz', 'rank': 1, 'score': 92.0}, {'batter': 'Shea Langeliers', 'rank': 3, 'score': 83.0}, {'batter': 'Brent Rooker', 'rank': 6, 'score': 79.0}, {'batter': 'Tyler Soderstrom', 'rank': 11, 'score': 73.0} Zack Littell: {'batter': 'Dominic Canzone', 'rank': 4, 'score': 80.0}, {'batter': 'Colt Emerson', 'rank': 12, 'score': 73.0}, {'batter': 'Luke Raley', 'rank': 13, 'score': 72.0}

Top 15 Matchups

# Result Batter Pitcher HR/FB Score FIP Park Form Barrel HR Details
1 Nick Kurtz COL Bullpen Proxy 33.9% 92 4.8 1.15 🌤️ 18.5% 108.9 mph · 471ft · 31.0°
2 Corbin Carroll Nick Lodolo 33.1% 85 7.1 1.17 🌤️ 13.0%
3 Shea Langeliers COL Bullpen Proxy 31.7% 83 4.8 1.15 · 14.8% 104.2 mph · 450ft · 27.0°
4 Dominic Canzone Zack Littell 35.9% 80 6.0 1.07 🌤️ 13.3% 97.8 mph · 395ft · 32.0°
5 Dillon Dingler Tanner Bibee 29.0% 79 4.9 0.94 🌤️ 11.9%
6 Brent Rooker COL Bullpen Proxy 26.0% 79 4.8 1.15 🌤️ 15.4%
7 Byron Buxton Kyle Leahy 28.0% 78 4.8 0.94 · 14.1% 108.5 mph · 425ft · 21.0°
8 JJ Bleday Eduardo Rodriguez 26.5% 77 3.9 1.17 · 10.1%
9 Jake Bauers Andrew Painter 32.5% 75 5.2 0.99 · 11.0% 106.5 mph · 391ft · 19.0°
10 Hunter Goodman Gage Jump 27.0% 74 2.9 1.15 🌤️ 7.6%
11 Tyler Soderstrom COL Bullpen Proxy 29.0% 73 4.8 1.15 · 11.0%
12 Colt Emerson Zack Littell 42.7% 73 6.0 1.07 🌤️ 7.1% 102.2 mph · 407ft · 33.0°
13 Luke Raley Zack Littell 39.8% 72 6.0 1.07 13.7%
14 Matt Olson Nolan McLean 30.0% 72 3.8 0.96 🌤️ 9.8% 102.1 mph · 399ft · 22.0°
15 Pete Alonso Griffin Canning 20.0% 71 5.2 1.12 · 11.2%

All 35 HRs in Slate

Show all ranked picks that hit
#BatterHR/FBEVDistLA
1 Nick Kurtz 33.9% 108.9 471ft 31.0°
3 Shea Langeliers 31.7% 104.2 450ft 27.0°
4 Dominic Canzone 35.9% 97.8 395ft 32.0°
7 Byron Buxton 28.0% 108.5 425ft 21.0°
9 Jake Bauers 32.5% 106.5 391ft 19.0°
12 Colt Emerson 42.7% 102.2 407ft 33.0°
14 Matt Olson 30.0% 102.1 399ft 22.0°
29 Kody Clemens 27.7% 102.4 385ft 27.0°
32 Juan Soto 18.0% 109.1 382ft 24.0°
33 Willson Contreras 23.7% 104.3 379ft 41.0°
35 Kazuma Okamoto 24.6% 111.4 423ft 36.0°
36 Yordan Álvarez 18.9% 108.7 419ft 31.0°
38 James Wood 25.3% 111.5 416ft 26.0°
39 Samuel Basallo 22.5% 99.7 389ft 31.0°
49 Alec Burleson 20.0% 108.8 419ft 36.0°
59 Andrew Benintendi 16.1% 99.2 387ft 27.0°
67 Gunnar Henderson 18.3% 108.8 386ft 24.0°
69 Brooks Lee 21.1% 100.2 382ft 34.0°
73 Brandon Lowe 17.9% 101.6 391ft 37.0°
74 Spencer Torkelson 15.8% 105.9 416ft 32.0°
76 Christian Walker 11.9% 99.7 370ft 40.0°
92 Wilyer Abreu 8.2% 106.1 421ft 29.0°
113 George Springer 10.7% 100.5 385ft 32.0°
115 Royce Lewis 9.3% 107.2 394ft 37.0°
123 Cody Bellinger 10.2% 104.0 350ft 25.0°
138 Josh Naylor 9.9% 106.6 383ft 43.0°
140 Ceddanne Rafaela 9.2% 96.8 374ft 27.0°
159 James Outman 11.7% 107.5 418ft 30.0°
161 Endy Rodríguez 6.3% 106.9 393ft 21.0°
167 Bo Bichette 5.8% 96.6 341ft 31.0°
168 Dylan Crews 9.3% 109.5 440ft 22.0°
182 Liam Hicks 11.9% 90.6 356ft 31.0°
191 Noelvi Marte 8.9% 106.5 427ft 29.0°
199 Michael Busch 8.2% 104.5 387ft 26.0°
214 Brice Matthews 5.1% 107.5 433ft 34.0°
LD 3.3.16 · build 516

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