⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
← Case Studies Study Day

📅 2026-05-04

1 Top-5 Hits
1 Top-15 Hits
21 HRs in Slate
78% Coverage
198 Scored

Why It Worked

🏟️
HR-Friendly Parks
15 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
🔥
Hot Bats
6 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential

🔥 High Conviction Day

0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).

Stack Alerts: Shane Baz: {'batter': 'Aaron Judge', 'rank': 1, 'score': 61.0}, {'batter': 'Ben Rice', 'rank': 2, 'score': 59.0}, {'batter': 'Giancarlo Stanton', 'rank': 4, 'score': 54.0} Yoshinobu Yamamoto: {'batter': 'Yordan Alvarez', 'rank': 3, 'score': 58.0}, {'batter': 'Christian Walker', 'rank': 5, 'score': 54.0} Cam Schlittler: {'batter': 'Coby Mayo', 'rank': 6, 'score': 53.0}, {'batter': 'Pete Alonso', 'rank': 10, 'score': 50.0}, {'batter': 'Samuel Basallo', 'rank': 11, 'score': 50.0}, {'batter': 'Gunnar Henderson', 'rank': 13, 'score': 49.0} Edward Cabrera: {'batter': 'Nathaniel Lowe', 'rank': 8, 'score': 52.0}, {'batter': 'Elly De La Cruz', 'rank': 9, 'score': 51.0}, {'batter': 'Sal Stewart', 'rank': 14, 'score': 49.0}

Top 15 Matchups

# Result Batter Pitcher HR/FB Score FIP Park Form Barrel HR Details
1 Aaron Judge Shane Baz 50.9% 61 3.7 1.25 🌤️ nan% 110.6 mph · 416ft · 27.0°
2 Ben Rice Shane Baz 35.6% 59 3.7 1.25 · nan%
3 Yordan Alvarez Yoshinobu Yamamoto 21.2% 58 3.6 1.14 · nan%
4 Giancarlo Stanton Shane Baz 23.8% 54 3.7 1.25 🔥 nan%
5 Christian Walker Yoshinobu Yamamoto 33.9% 54 3.6 1.14 · nan%
6 Coby Mayo Cam Schlittler 20.0% 53 1.5 1.25 🔥 nan%
7 Juan Soto Tomoyuki Sugano 19.1% 52 4.7 1.10 🌤️ nan%
8 Nathaniel Lowe Edward Cabrera 38.7% 52 3.7 1.08 🌤️ nan%
9 Elly De La Cruz Edward Cabrera 35.9% 51 3.7 1.08 · nan%
10 Pete Alonso Cam Schlittler 24.7% 50 1.5 1.25 🌤️ nan%
11 Samuel Basallo Cam Schlittler 22.6% 50 1.5 1.25 · nan%
12 Moisés Ballesteros Chase Petty 32.0% 50 5.2 1.08 · nan%
13 Gunnar Henderson Cam Schlittler 21.8% 49 1.5 1.25 🌧️ nan%
14 Sal Stewart Edward Cabrera 20.5% 49 3.7 1.08 · nan%
15 Daniel Schneemann Michael Wacha 32.4% 49 3.9 1.12 · nan%

All 21 HRs in Slate

Show all ranked picks that hit
#BatterHR/FBEVDistLA
1 Aaron Judge 50.9% 110.6 416ft 27.0°
19 Jac Caglianone 22.4% 104.2 421ft 28.0°
29 Bobby Witt Jr. 7.1% 107.1 422ft 32.0°
33 Kyle Tucker 7.2% 106.8 376ft 22.0°
49 Carson Benge 8.4% 104.6 436ft 31.0°
57 Matt Olson 35.4% 109.7 428ft 30.0°
59 Ke'Bryan Hayes 6.4% 103.5 366ft 22.0°
61 Munetaka Murakami 36.9% 109.0 429ft 32.0°
67 Brice Turang 21.1% 105.3 414ft 28.0°
85 Alex Freeland 9.3% 95.8 362ft 34.0°
86 Drake Baldwin 23.1% 108.5 426ft 31.0°
88 Luke Raley 20.7% 105.5 388ft 25.0°
97 Miguel Vargas 12.8% 102.1 378ft 31.0°
98 Ozzie Albies 16.4% 103.1 414ft 29.0°
110 Austin Riley 7.4% 109.1 427ft 24.0°
114 Bryce Harper 16.0% 103.3 393ft 28.0°
138 J.P. Crawford 8.6% 100.7 357ft 39.0°
169 Casey Schmitt 15.6% 102.5 396ft 25.0°
183 Jarren Duran 5.0% 98.9 381ft 33.0°
190 Ramón Laureano 8.9% 106.3 447ft 29.0°
191 Jackson Merrill 5.2% 105.2 436ft 24.0°
LD 3.2.69

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