← Case Studies
Study Day
📅 2026-05-04
1
Top-5 Hits
1
Top-15 Hits
21
HRs in Slate
78%
Coverage
198
Scored
Why It Worked
HR-Friendly Parks
15 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
6 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Shane Baz: {'batter': 'Aaron Judge', 'rank': 1, 'score': 61.0}, {'batter': 'Ben Rice', 'rank': 2, 'score': 59.0}, {'batter': 'Giancarlo Stanton', 'rank': 4, 'score': 54.0}
Yoshinobu Yamamoto: {'batter': 'Yordan Alvarez', 'rank': 3, 'score': 58.0}, {'batter': 'Christian Walker', 'rank': 5, 'score': 54.0}
Cam Schlittler: {'batter': 'Coby Mayo', 'rank': 6, 'score': 53.0}, {'batter': 'Pete Alonso', 'rank': 10, 'score': 50.0}, {'batter': 'Samuel Basallo', 'rank': 11, 'score': 50.0}, {'batter': 'Gunnar Henderson', 'rank': 13, 'score': 49.0}
Edward Cabrera: {'batter': 'Nathaniel Lowe', 'rank': 8, 'score': 52.0}, {'batter': 'Elly De La Cruz', 'rank': 9, 'score': 51.0}, {'batter': 'Sal Stewart', 'rank': 14, 'score': 49.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ✅ | Aaron Judge | Shane Baz | 50.9% | 61 | 3.7 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | 110.6 mph · 416ft · 27.0° |
| 2 | — | Ben Rice | Shane Baz | 35.6% | 59 | 3.7 | 1.25 | · | nan% | |
| 3 | — | Yordan Alvarez | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 21.2% | 58 | 3.6 | 1.14 | · | nan% | |
| 4 | — | Giancarlo Stanton | Shane Baz | 23.8% | 54 | 3.7 | 1.25 | 🔥 | nan% | |
| 5 | — | Christian Walker | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 33.9% | 54 | 3.6 | 1.14 | · | nan% | |
| 6 | — | Coby Mayo | Cam Schlittler | 20.0% | 53 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 🔥 | nan% | |
| 7 | — | Juan Soto | Tomoyuki Sugano | 19.1% | 52 | 4.7 | 1.10 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 8 | — | Nathaniel Lowe | Edward Cabrera | 38.7% | 52 | 3.7 | 1.08 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 9 | — | Elly De La Cruz | Edward Cabrera | 35.9% | 51 | 3.7 | 1.08 | · | nan% | |
| 10 | — | Pete Alonso | Cam Schlittler | 24.7% | 50 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 11 | — | Samuel Basallo | Cam Schlittler | 22.6% | 50 | 1.5 | 1.25 | · | nan% | |
| 12 | — | Moisés Ballesteros | Chase Petty | 32.0% | 50 | 5.2 | 1.08 | · | nan% | |
| 13 | — | Gunnar Henderson | Cam Schlittler | 21.8% | 49 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 🌧️ | nan% | |
| 14 | — | Sal Stewart | Edward Cabrera | 20.5% | 49 | 3.7 | 1.08 | · | nan% | |
| 15 | — | Daniel Schneemann | Michael Wacha | 32.4% | 49 | 3.9 | 1.12 | · | nan% |
All 21 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Judge | 50.9% | 110.6 | 416ft | 27.0° |
| 19 | Jac Caglianone | 22.4% | 104.2 | 421ft | 28.0° |
| 29 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 7.1% | 107.1 | 422ft | 32.0° |
| 33 | Kyle Tucker | 7.2% | 106.8 | 376ft | 22.0° |
| 49 | Carson Benge | 8.4% | 104.6 | 436ft | 31.0° |
| 57 | Matt Olson | 35.4% | 109.7 | 428ft | 30.0° |
| 59 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 6.4% | 103.5 | 366ft | 22.0° |
| 61 | Munetaka Murakami | 36.9% | 109.0 | 429ft | 32.0° |
| 67 | Brice Turang | 21.1% | 105.3 | 414ft | 28.0° |
| 85 | Alex Freeland | 9.3% | 95.8 | 362ft | 34.0° |
| 86 | Drake Baldwin | 23.1% | 108.5 | 426ft | 31.0° |
| 88 | Luke Raley | 20.7% | 105.5 | 388ft | 25.0° |
| 97 | Miguel Vargas | 12.8% | 102.1 | 378ft | 31.0° |
| 98 | Ozzie Albies | 16.4% | 103.1 | 414ft | 29.0° |
| 110 | Austin Riley | 7.4% | 109.1 | 427ft | 24.0° |
| 114 | Bryce Harper | 16.0% | 103.3 | 393ft | 28.0° |
| 138 | J.P. Crawford | 8.6% | 100.7 | 357ft | 39.0° |
| 169 | Casey Schmitt | 15.6% | 102.5 | 396ft | 25.0° |
| 183 | Jarren Duran | 5.0% | 98.9 | 381ft | 33.0° |
| 190 | Ramón Laureano | 8.9% | 106.3 | 447ft | 29.0° |
| 191 | Jackson Merrill | 5.2% | 105.2 | 436ft | 24.0° |