⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
WSH
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.88×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.706
Temp
53.8°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 87 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 8 0.316 96.9 30.2% 42.9% 404 40.0% 36.4% 32.6% 26
2 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 82 0.238 89.6 13.3% 0.0% 386 14.3% 9.1% 9.3% 32
3 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 99 0.211 88.5 9.8% 22.2% 394 20.0% 25.0% 19.7% 21
4 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 140 0.134 88.2 5.5% 8.8% 400 14.3% 20.0% 11.3% 35
5 Brady House Brady House 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 152 0.123 89.1 10.9% 0.0% 388 7.1% 10.0% 5.0% 29
6 Luis García Jr. 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 216 0.105 91.4 5.5% 5.9% 405 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 34
7 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 23 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 233 0.051 82.1 2.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 25
8 Jacob Young Jacob Young 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 243 0.118 90.1 5.6% 0.0% 383 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 35
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 6 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 261 0.012 84.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 28
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.177 88.6 16.4% 20.0% 415 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 26
2 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.129 90.9 9.5% 12.5% 406 8.7% 14.3% 6.3% 16
3 Brett Baty Brett Baty 34 ⚪ D · · 189 0.106 90.9 9.3% 5.9% 414 3.8% 10.0% 4.5% 22
4 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 213 0.094 91.1 3.6% 11.1% 344 7.7% 10.0% 4.9% 37
5 Jorge Polanco Jorge Polanco 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 215 0.107 87.3 4.4% 12.5% 346 4.3% 0.0% 5.0% 22
6 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 219 0.111 88.6 3.8% 20.0% 420 9.5% 11.1% 5.6% 20
7 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 22 ⚪ D · · 237 0.077 86.8 8.1% 3.9% 407 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 31
8 Carson Benge Carson Benge 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 246 0.098 91.0 5.6% 0.0% 387 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 23
9 Luis Robert Jr. 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 251 0.105 90.5 3.1% 0.0% 400 8.3% 0.0% 3.9% 28
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