WSH
@
7:10p
NYM
Park Factor
0.88×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.702
Temp
53.9°F
Wind
5.8 mph
in
Roof
open
Clay Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 88 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.325 | 96.9 | 30.2% | 50.0% | 404 | 42.9% | 36.4% | 37.6% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
CJ Abrams | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 51 | 0.247 | 89.6 | 13.3% | 33.3% | 386 | 15.4% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Curtis Mead | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 64 | 0.211 | 88.5 | 9.8% | 25.0% | 394 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 19.6% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Daylen Lile | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.139 | 88.2 | 5.5% | 13.3% | 400 | 15.4% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Brady House | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.128 | 89.1 | 10.9% | 33.3% | 388 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 29 |
| 6 | Luis García Jr. | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 173 | 0.110 | 91.4 | 5.5% | 6.7% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 33 | |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Young | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.123 | 90.1 | 5.6% | 20.0% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Jorbit Vivas | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 206 | 0.053 | 82.1 | 2.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 8 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.012 | 84.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 30 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 69 | 0.129 | 90.9 | 9.5% | 12.5% | 406 | 9.1% | 28.6% | 17.7% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 76 | 0.187 | 88.6 | 16.4% | 25.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Brett Baty | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 132 | 0.109 | 90.9 | 9.3% | 6.7% | 414 | 4.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Benge | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 144 | 0.103 | 91.0 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Mark Vientos | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.114 | 88.6 | 3.8% | 20.0% | 420 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.069 | 91.1 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 344 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Jorge Polanco | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.107 | 87.3 | 4.4% | 12.5% | 346 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 2 |
| 8 |
|
Marcus Semien | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 188 | 0.080 | 86.8 | 8.1% | 4.2% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 30 |
| 9 | Luis Robert Jr. | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 196 | 0.105 | 90.5 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 400 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 31 |