⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
WSH
@
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.721
Temp
37.0°F
Wind
4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Miles Mikolas
Miles Mikolas RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Michael Busch Michael Busch 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.261 92.2 14.7% 20.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 16.9% 26
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 18 0.234 89.5 12.8% 14.2% 395 0.0% 0.0% 13.9% 6
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 52 0.173 90.5 12.2% 15.5% 403 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 3
4 Ian Happ Ian Happ 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 54 0.178 90.0 11.5% 13.3% 393 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% 3
5 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.219 86.4 9.2% 12.5% 379 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 3
6 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 75 0.189 90.1 9.2% 11.2% 386 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 3
7 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.168 84.9 9.4% 10.8% 387 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 14
8 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 48 ⚪ D · · 78 0.175 89.1 9.2% 22.2% 401 0.0% 0.0% 17.4% 0
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 32 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 215 0.097 86.7 5.4% 3.7% 379 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 5
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 55 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 32 0.219 94.3 12.8% 30.7% 411 0.0% 0.0% 15.4% 5
2 Luis García Jr. 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.160 90.2 9.5% 10.8% 397 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 8
3 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 136 0.199 88.9 7.2% 9.3% 389 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 6
4 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 40 ⚪ D · · 148 0.171 88.6 6.9% 23.5% 374 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% 0
5 José Tena José Tena 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 216 0.112 89.2 7.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 4
6 Drew Millas Drew Millas 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 221 0.143 84.8 4.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 9
7 Brady House Brady House 30 ⚪ D · · 224 0.088 89.8 6.6% 6.8% 399 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 23
8 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 29 ⚪ D · · 227 0.089 85.9 6.9% 6.3% 360 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 0
9 Jacob Young Jacob Young 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 243 0.056 87.6 4.4% 3.1% 387 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 1
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