WSH
@
—
CHC
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.721
Temp
37.0°F
Wind
4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Michael Busch | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.261 | 92.2 | 14.7% | 20.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.9% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.234 | 89.5 | 12.8% | 14.2% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 6 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 52 | 0.173 | 90.5 | 12.2% | 15.5% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 3 |
| 4 |
|
Ian Happ ⚡ | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.178 | 90.0 | 11.5% | 13.3% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 3 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Amaya | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.219 | 86.4 | 9.2% | 12.5% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 3 |
| 6 |
|
Alex Bregman | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 75 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 9.2% | 11.2% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 3 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Shaw | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.168 | 84.9 | 9.4% | 10.8% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 78 | 0.175 | 89.1 | 9.2% | 22.2% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.4% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 215 | 0.097 | 86.7 | 5.4% | 3.7% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 5 |
Cade Horton
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 32 | 0.219 | 94.3 | 12.8% | 30.7% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 5 |
| 2 | Luis García Jr. | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.160 | 90.2 | 9.5% | 10.8% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 8 | |
| 3 |
|
Daylen Lile | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.199 | 88.9 | 7.2% | 9.3% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 6 |
| 4 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 148 | 0.171 | 88.6 | 6.9% | 23.5% | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
José Tena | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 216 | 0.112 | 89.2 | 7.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 4 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Millas | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 221 | 0.143 | 84.8 | 4.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 9 |
| 7 |
|
Brady House | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 224 | 0.088 | 89.8 | 6.6% | 6.8% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Jorbit Vivas | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 227 | 0.089 | 85.9 | 6.9% | 6.3% | 360 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Jacob Young | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 243 | 0.056 | 87.6 | 4.4% | 3.1% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 1 |