WSH
@
4:10p
ATL
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.218
Temp
68.5°F
Wind
8.1 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Grant Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 80 | 🟢 A | · | · | 4 | 0.252 | 96.2 | 13.9% | 33.3% | 406 | 27.3% | 27.3% | 33.3% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.221 | 89.8 | 7.4% | 8.3% | 370 | 28.6% | 50.0% | 23.5% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Daylen Lile | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 33 | 0.180 | 87.8 | 7.4% | 15.4% | 405 | 12.5% | 18.2% | 20.8% | 49 |
| 4 |
|
José Tena | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 37 | 0.175 | 93.0 | 9.2% | 18.8% | 398 | 14.3% | 33.3% | 15.2% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
CJ Abrams | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 40 | 0.225 | 90.0 | 9.1% | 30.3% | 391 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 18.6% | 41 |
| 6 | Luis García Jr. | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 143 | 0.134 | 92.6 | 6.9% | 8.0% | 388 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 40 | |
| 7 |
|
Jorbit Vivas | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 177 | 0.074 | 82.5 | 4.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Dylan Crews | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 208 | 0.126 | 87.4 | 6.3% | 14.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 13 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 276 | 0.020 | 84.2 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 29 |
Jake Irvin
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.311 | 93.3 | 14.3% | 37.5% | 413 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 21.3% | 36 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.213 | 93.4 | 14.6% | 26.7% | 400 | 19.1% | 23.1% | 28.2% | 40 | |
| 3 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 31 | 0.167 | 90.2 | 8.0% | 18.5% | 374 | 10.0% | 30.0% | 20.2% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 34 | 0.197 | 90.8 | 11.4% | 18.9% | 409 | 12.2% | 23.1% | 25.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 49 | 0.194 | 90.1 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 397 | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 12.2% | 9.5% | 411 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 135 | 0.160 | 86.4 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 386 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 45 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.128 | 86.7 | 8.2% | 11.1% | 389 | 3.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Chadwick Tromp | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 282 | · | · | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 6 |