WSH
@
7:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.363
Temp
79.0°F
Wind
8.1 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 94 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 2 | 0.225 | 92.8 | 18.6% | 26.1% | 402 | 25.5% | 33.3% | 42.4% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson | 85 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.344 | 93.8 | 15.9% | 40.0% | 413 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 33.4% | 36 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 15 | 0.193 | 93.9 | 17.2% | 27.6% | 400 | 19.6% | 23.1% | 36.3% | 40 | |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 33 | 0.154 | 90.8 | 10.4% | 18.9% | 409 | 12.5% | 23.1% | 24.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 46 | 0.185 | 89.9 | 10.1% | 17.2% | 397 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 61 | 0.085 | 90.2 | 5.0% | 18.5% | 374 | 10.3% | 30.0% | 21.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 69 | 0.126 | 89.7 | 12.1% | 10.0% | 411 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 104 | 0.151 | 86.8 | 5.5% | 11.5% | 389 | 3.1% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.193 | 86.5 | 4.0% | 14.3% | 386 | 14.6% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 44 |