⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
TOR
@ 1:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.942
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 48 ⚪ D · · 37 0.231 90.9 · 38.1% 409 25.8% 27.3% 31.3% 31
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 73 0.230 89.6 · 20.0% 393 16.7% 18.2% 25.0% 31
3 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 117 0.148 90.0 · 28.6% 365 13.6% 18.2% 13.4% 32
4 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 193 0.088 88.6 · 16.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 29
5 Jonny DeLuca Jonny DeLuca 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 206 0.184 88.0 · 22.2% 416 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 22
6 Ryan Vilade Ryan Vilade 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 237 · 89.7 · 10.0% 413 0.0% 0.0% 14.1% 14
7 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 16 ⚪ D · · 243 0.042 83.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 39
8 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 244 0.106 87.7 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 25
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 259 0.034 82.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 20
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 67 0.159 93.2 · 20.0% 411 21.1% 30.8% 14.0% 34
2 Lenyn Sosa Lenyn Sosa 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 149 0.158 89.4 · 14.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 22
3 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.130 86.3 · 0.0% 360 2.9% 7.7% 4.4% 44
4 George Springer George Springer 27 ⚪ D · · 176 0.179 88.5 · 0.0% 389 6.5% 0.0% 6.9% 15
5 Myles Straw Myles Straw 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 199 0.106 87.5 · 9.1% 389 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 22
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 231 0.119 91.0 · 25.0% 434 5.7% 0.0% 7.2% 40
7 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 11 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 263 0.109 87.3 · 10.0% 366 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 11
8 Yohendrick Piñango 6 ⚪ D · · 266 · 90.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 20
9 Tyler Heineman Tyler Heineman 6 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 267 0.000 81.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 15
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