TOR
@
7:05p
NYY
Park Factor
1.21×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.448
Temp
72.3°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
open
Dylan Cease
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge | 88 | 🟢 A | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.350 | 93.8 | 23.5% | 44.4% | 406 | 26.8% | 16.7% | 32.1% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice | 87 | 🟢 A | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 4 | 0.364 | 93.4 | 20.2% | 40.7% | 391 | 28.2% | 27.3% | 31.8% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Trent Grisham | 59 | 🟠 C | +850 | · | 42 | 0.190 | 91.6 | 15.1% | 12.5% | 381 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Jones | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 49 | 0.190 | 90.7 | 15.0% | 12.9% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 47 |
| 5 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 63 | 0.201 | 89.9 | 8.2% | 9.4% | 379 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 40 |
| 6 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 39 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.124 | 88.8 | 6.0% | 13.0% | 377 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 30 | |
| 7 |
|
Ryan McMahon | 36 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 147 | 0.108 | 91.3 | 7.5% | 12.5% | 356 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Austin Wells | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 169 | 0.100 | 90.7 | 6.3% | 11.1% | 372 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Anthony Volpe | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.058 | 87.8 | 5.6% | 7.7% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 9 |
Will Warren
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 22 | 0.219 | 93.3 | 15.2% | 32.1% | 411 | 13.8% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 48 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.153 | 86.7 | 7.2% | 16.0% | 387 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
George Springer | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.117 | 87.5 | 8.3% | 23.1% | 394 | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Davis Schneider | 41 | ⚪ D | +1000 | ❄ COLD | 117 | 0.106 | 86.4 | 11.1% | 12.5% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 5 |
| 5 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 119 | 0.163 | 85.8 | 3.9% | 15.4% | 382 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 21.3% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 122 | 0.157 | 91.3 | 6.3% | 26.1% | 400 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 175 | 0.084 | 90.4 | 7.9% | 11.1% | 412 | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 39 |
| 8 | Yohendrick Piñango | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 179 | · | 90.0 | 4.8% | 10.0% | 348 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 14.5% | 25 | |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Heineman | 18 | ⚪ D | · | · | 234 | 0.000 | 83.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 10 |