⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
TOR
@ 7:40p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.960
Temp
36°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 63 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 37 0.227 88.3 15.7% 30.4% 408 22.2% 36.4% 32.6% 35
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 50 🟠 C · · 73 0.174 92.0 14.9% 25.0% 394 12.0% 10.0% 13.3% 25
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 38 ⚪ D · · 109 0.179 89.6 4.8% 25.0% 371 18.5% 16.7% 13.1% 33
4 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 124 0.116 89.7 8.7% 30.0% 413 11.5% 0.0% 7.7% 18
5 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 30 ⚪ D · · 134 0.138 87.2 7.7% 9.1% 398 4.0% 0.0% 6.6% 27
6 Josh Bell Josh Bell 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 146 0.131 88.3 8.6% 14.3% 392 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 38
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.115 85.8 4.8% 9.1% 406 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 19
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 166 0.060 85.2 3.5% 12.5% 367 3.7% 0.0% 8.4% 35
9 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 11 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 167 0.052 88.1 4.9% 14.3% 423 4.0% 0.0% 6.7% 18
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 59 0.184 93.1 9.8% 31.2% 415 18.8% 15.4% 16.3% 31
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 42 ⚪ D · · 96 0.159 91.8 12.3% 31.2% 414 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 0
3 George Springer George Springer 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 97 0.179 88.9 10.0% 33.3% 389 8.0% 0.0% 12.9% 2
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 40 ⚪ D · · 102 0.119 92.4 12.5% 11.1% 434 6.9% 7.7% 5.9% 40
5 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 116 0.109 91.8 17.4% 16.7% 366 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 13
6 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 31 ⚪ D · · 131 0.149 85.2 6.1% 12.5% 388 5.9% 0.0% 7.9% 23
7 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.169 87.0 3.8% 15.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 32
8 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 25 ⚪ D · · 155 0.130 87.2 0.0% 0.0% · 3.4% 7.7% 4.3% 48
9 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 17 ⚪ D · · 165 0.077 86.9 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 20
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