TOR
@
7:40p
MIN
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.960
Temp
36°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
Kevin Gausman
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.227 | 88.3 | 15.7% | 30.4% | 408 | 22.2% | 36.4% | 32.6% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 73 | 0.174 | 92.0 | 14.9% | 25.0% | 394 | 12.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Brooks Lee | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 109 | 0.179 | 89.6 | 4.8% | 25.0% | 371 | 18.5% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Wallner | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.116 | 89.7 | 8.7% | 30.0% | 413 | 11.5% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 134 | 0.138 | 87.2 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 398 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Bell | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 146 | 0.131 | 88.3 | 8.6% | 14.3% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Martin | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.115 | 85.8 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 166 | 0.060 | 85.2 | 3.5% | 12.5% | 367 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Caratini | 11 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 167 | 0.052 | 88.1 | 4.9% | 14.3% | 423 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 18 |
Bailey Ober
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.184 | 93.1 | 9.8% | 31.2% | 415 | 18.8% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 96 | 0.159 | 91.8 | 12.3% | 31.2% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
George Springer | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 97 | 0.179 | 88.9 | 10.0% | 33.3% | 389 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 2 |
| 4 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 102 | 0.119 | 92.4 | 12.5% | 11.1% | 434 | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Davis Schneider | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 116 | 0.109 | 91.8 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 131 | 0.149 | 85.2 | 6.1% | 12.5% | 388 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.169 | 87.0 | 3.8% | 15.0% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Ernie Clement | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 155 | 0.130 | 87.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 3.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 48 |
| 9 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 165 | 0.077 | 86.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 20 |