⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
TOR
@ 7:40p
MIL
American Family Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.23×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.105
Temp
57.1°F
Wind
5.9 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 George Springer George Springer 65 🔵 C+ · · 20 0.251 89.6 10.3% 20.0% 389 14.3% 0.0% 27.5% 27
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 30 0.175 91.2 12.6% 14.3% 437 6.7% 9.1% 16.6% 35
3 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 47 ⚪ D · · 69 0.172 90.0 5.2% 11.8% · 6.7% 9.1% 14.8% 41
4 Alejandro Kirk Alejandro Kirk 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.140 85.5 7.3% 10.1% 394 8.3% 0.0% 11.2% 8
5 Addison Barger Addison Barger 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.211 90.7 0.0% 15.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 26.2% 6
6 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 36 ⚪ D · · 111 0.152 82.8 0.0% 10.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 18
7 Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 116 0.103 88.6 7.9% 7.6% 384 9.1% 0.0% 9.1% 34
8 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 32 ⚪ D · · 129 0.121 85.7 0.0% 4.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 43
9 Myles Straw Myles Straw 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 143 0.105 85.7 0.0% 5.1% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 12
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 26 0.187 91.2 10.8% 17.9% 417 100.0% 0.0% 43.2% 12
2 Brice Turang Brice Turang 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 31 0.147 92.4 8.6% 13.3% 392 14.3% 20.0% 29.3% 23
3 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 59 0.193 88.9 12.0% 12.4% 386 0.0% 0.0% 23.4% 38
4 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.188 89.7 6.2% 29.6% 421 0.0% 0.0% 33.1% 27
5 William Contreras William Contreras 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 89 0.140 92.0 8.6% 12.4% 415 7.1% 0.0% 16.0% 28
6 Blake Perkins Blake Perkins 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.123 83.6 8.6% 8.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 16
7 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 114 0.117 86.2 6.7% 7.8% 407 7.1% 0.0% 11.9% 28
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 126 0.087 89.4 10.8% 4.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 24
9 Jeferson Quero Jeferson Quero 28 ⚪ D · · 142 0.088 93.0 0.0% 5.9% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 21
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