TOR
@
7:40p
MIL
Park Factor
1.23×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.105
Temp
57.1°F
Wind
5.9 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
George Springer | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 20 | 0.251 | 89.6 | 10.3% | 20.0% | 389 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 27.5% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.175 | 91.2 | 12.6% | 14.3% | 437 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 69 | 0.172 | 90.0 | 5.2% | 11.8% | · | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Alejandro Kirk | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.140 | 85.5 | 7.3% | 10.1% | 394 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 8 |
| 5 |
|
Addison Barger | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.211 | 90.7 | 0.0% | 15.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.2% | 6 |
| 6 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 111 | 0.152 | 82.8 | 0.0% | 10.4% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Andres Gimenez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 116 | 0.103 | 88.6 | 7.9% | 7.6% | 384 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Ernie Clement | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 129 | 0.121 | 85.7 | 0.0% | 4.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 43 |
| 9 |
|
Myles Straw | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.105 | 85.7 | 0.0% | 5.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 12 |
Kevin Gausman
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.187 | 91.2 | 10.8% | 17.9% | 417 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 43.2% | 12 |
| 2 |
|
Brice Turang | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.147 | 92.4 | 8.6% | 13.3% | 392 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 29.3% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 59 | 0.193 | 88.9 | 12.0% | 12.4% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.4% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Christian Yelich | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.188 | 89.7 | 6.2% | 29.6% | 421 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.1% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.140 | 92.0 | 8.6% | 12.4% | 415 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Blake Perkins | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 110 | 0.123 | 83.6 | 8.6% | 8.6% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 114 | 0.117 | 86.2 | 6.7% | 7.8% | 407 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 126 | 0.087 | 89.4 | 10.8% | 4.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Jeferson Quero | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 142 | 0.088 | 93.0 | 0.0% | 5.9% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 21 |