⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
TOR
@ 12:15p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.13×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
1.130
Temp
75.6°F
Wind
5.8 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 40 0.199 92.7 12.6% 29.0% 408 15.4% 18.2% 30.4% 23
2 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.189 91.3 9.9% 25.0% 399 11.9% 8.3% 14.9% 23
3 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.146 85.6 5.5% 8.1% 371 9.1% 25.0% 13.7% 45
4 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 46 ⚪ D · · 124 0.152 86.4 8.2% 13.8% 387 7.0% 0.0% 10.4% 39
5 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 44 ⚪ D · · 132 0.147 85.5 6.4% 17.2% 387 4.8% 8.3% 10.6% 29
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.104 90.5 8.7% 9.5% 412 5.5% 9.1% 9.3% 38
7 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 162 0.153 89.3 8.5% 22.2% 392 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 29
8 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.084 87.5 4.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 13
9 Charles McAdoo Charles McAdoo 16 ⚪ D · · 262 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 59 🟠 C · · 61 0.219 89.3 5.6% 17.5% 390 21.8% 33.3% 26.6% 43
2 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.202 95.2 6.3% 22.9% 392 15.8% 16.7% 17.3% 41
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.230 92.8 6.1% 28.0% 401 15.8% 22.2% 31.5% 23
4 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 50 🟠 C · · 98 0.211 89.6 5.2% 19.1% 399 14.8% 10.0% 15.5% 35
5 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 47 ⚪ D · · 120 0.222 89.5 5.3% 16.7% 372 0.0% 0.0% 26.7% 23
6 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.127 85.1 5.6% 18.8% 420 10.0% 50.0% 16.2% 21
7 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 178 0.086 92.2 3.8% 12.5% 399 2.9% 14.3% 6.7% 25
8 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 31 ⚪ D · · 218 0.100 89.1 3.8% 3.5% 390 3.4% 8.3% 5.7% 34
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 239 0.129 87.3 3.8% 15.0% 409 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 32
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