TOR
@
4:05p
BAL
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.184
Temp
70.7°F
Wind
13 mph
cross
Roof
open
Brandon Young
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.188 | 92.5 | 11.2% | 29.0% | 408 | 15.8% | 18.2% | 26.3% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.189 | 91.2 | 8.5% | 25.0% | 399 | 12.2% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Ernie Clement | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.149 | 85.8 | 5.0% | 8.1% | 371 | 9.3% | 27.3% | 13.7% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
George Springer | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 92 | 0.171 | 87.9 | 8.3% | 23.8% | 387 | 8.0% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 155 | 0.140 | 86.4 | 7.3% | 13.8% | 387 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 158 | 0.147 | 85.5 | 5.7% | 17.2% | 387 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.101 | 90.2 | 7.8% | 9.5% | 412 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 200 | 0.073 | 87.1 | 3.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 11 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Heineman | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 215 | 0.041 | 83.4 | 3.9% | 9.1% | 391 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 7 |
Trey Yesavage
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.216 | 92.9 | 6.6% | 28.0% | 401 | 16.2% | 33.3% | 21.2% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Alonso | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.193 | 95.1 | 6.9% | 22.9% | 392 | 16.1% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 90 | 0.222 | 89.3 | 5.9% | 17.5% | 390 | 22.2% | 33.3% | 19.3% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 95 | 0.164 | 91.7 | 6.0% | 11.1% | 414 | 12.8% | 28.6% | 13.1% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 113 | 0.217 | 89.5 | 5.7% | 19.1% | 399 | 15.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.165 | 89.5 | 5.5% | 21.4% | 396 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 204 | 0.141 | 90.5 | 5.9% | 5.0% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 218 | 0.102 | 89.4 | 4.1% | 3.5% | 390 | 3.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 239 | 0.132 | 87.3 | 4.1% | 15.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 31 |