TOR
@
4:10p
AZ
Park Factor
0.81×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.891
Temp
79.2°F
Wind
14.2 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Kevin Gausman
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll ⚡ | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.309 | 91.9 | 12.2% | 21.4% | 407 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 14.1% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 130 | 0.246 | 86.4 | 8.6% | 33.3% | 405 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.143 | 83.8 | 4.5% | 21.4% | 399 | 12.5% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 155 | 0.142 | 86.0 | 9.4% | 33.3% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Ketel Marte | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.177 | 92.4 | 9.6% | 28.6% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.6% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.188 | 84.9 | 7.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 201 | 0.125 | 87.4 | 9.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 8 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 237 | 0.085 | 86.7 | 1.8% | 7.7% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Alek Thomas | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 250 | 0.105 | 92.2 | 5.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 22 |
Ryne Nelson
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Davis Schneider | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 77 | 0.161 | 93.9 | 26.7% | 14.3% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 12 |
| 2 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.200 | 85.1 | 6.1% | 21.4% | 388 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 127 | 0.096 | 92.7 | 15.4% | 10.0% | 437 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
George Springer | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.185 | 88.9 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 389 | 11.8% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.148 | 91.4 | 7.9% | 16.7% | 412 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Andrés Giménez ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 189 | 0.192 | 86.8 | 6.0% | 17.6% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 193 | 0.096 | 88.6 | 8.3% | 25.0% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 0 |
| 8 |
|
Ernie Clement | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 238 | 0.087 | 86.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 43 |
| 9 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 257 | 0.000 | 85.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 22 |