⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
TOR
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.943
Temp
78.5°F
Wind
5.0 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 67 0.296 91.9 12.2% 16.7% 407 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 25
2 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 56 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 72 0.277 86.4 8.6% 33.3% 405 25.0% 25.0% 15.9% 31
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 90 0.197 92.4 9.6% 30.8% 411 0.0% 0.0% 22.9% 32
4 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 104 0.163 86.0 9.4% 33.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 17.9% 27
5 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 41 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 124 0.125 87.4 9.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 14
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 135 0.200 84.9 7.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 25
7 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 165 0.111 83.8 4.5% 15.4% 399 7.1% 10.0% 9.4% 33
8 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.092 92.2 5.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 24
9 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 251 0.080 86.7 1.8% 8.3% 398 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 37
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 52 🟠 C · · 82 0.179 93.9 26.7% 16.7% 366 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 12
2 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 98 0.203 85.1 6.1% 21.4% 388 20.0% 33.3% 16.1% 39
3 George Springer George Springer 41 ⚪ D · · 126 0.185 88.9 10.0% 16.7% 389 13.3% 0.0% 8.8% 25
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 40 ⚪ D · · 130 0.108 92.7 15.4% 12.5% 437 5.9% 10.0% 6.0% 37
5 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 162 0.170 91.4 7.9% 16.7% 412 25.0% 0.0% 8.1% 30
6 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.200 86.8 6.0% 20.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 11.0% 37
7 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 26 ⚪ D · · 205 0.108 88.6 8.3% 25.0% 410 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 0
8 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 13 ⚪ D · · 253 0.068 86.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 45
9 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 8 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 258 0.000 85.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 18
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