⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
TEX
@ 4:10p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.800
Temp
53.4°F
Wind
7.5 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 80 🟢 A · · 20 0.318 92.8 18.8% 45.5% 382 50.0% 50.0% 28.4% 26
2 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.107 83.8 9.1% 7.7% 391 10.5% 18.2% 6.8% 39
3 Cole Young Cole Young 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 160 0.135 84.9 7.0% 14.3% 381 10.5% 9.1% 7.7% 33
4 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 175 0.214 84.7 5.1% 33.3% 348 13.3% 10.0% 14.3% 24
5 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 215 0.072 87.9 4.2% 9.1% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 35
6 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 221 0.090 90.9 8.0% 9.1% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 34
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 22 ⚪ D · · 227 0.074 87.2 7.1% 14.3% 399 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 36
8 J.P. Crawford 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 230 0.068 88.5 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 29
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 15 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 251 0.044 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 11
Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 59 0.250 90.6 15.9% 27.8% 405 25.0% 11.1% 13.9% 30
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 52 🟠 C · · 80 0.226 90.6 12.8% 38.5% 403 11.8% 0.0% 16.1% 38
3 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 82 0.210 89.4 9.4% 26.7% 404 17.6% 20.0% 12.7% 41
4 Evan Carter Evan Carter 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.153 90.4 12.1% 13.3% 381 33.3% 33.3% 7.2% 30
5 Josh Jung Josh Jung 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.197 89.7 0.0% 22.2% · 11.8% 20.0% 8.8% 34
6 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.125 89.5 4.0% 14.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 14
7 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.133 90.1 7.1% 8.3% 365 5.9% 10.0% 4.3% 32
8 Josh Smith Josh Smith 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 255 0.017 86.8 4.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 28
9 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 256 0.089 92.0 0.0% 7.7% 361 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 20
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